NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	118		Excitement	4.2 [981]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +18.9%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	2.1 [317]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -15.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.04	-0.04	13	61%	0.19	1	-0.00	10	70%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Erick Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	8	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	19	51%	0.01	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	6	87%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	15	65%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	39%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	10%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.05	0.06	25	54%	-0.05	7	-0.11	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	27.5	15.0	25.0	2.6	33.6	129.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +20.8%

DEN +3.9%

DEN +16.6%

DEN +9.1%

SAC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	15.1	119.2	111.3	104.2
season	14.6	14.9		103.4	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.3		107.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.2	14.1	12.3	15.2	14.0
SAC	15.1	14.1	19.3	13.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	41	42	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.02	22	-12	34	14.6	13.6	1.03	17.5	13.8	3.66
Kenneth Faried	73	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.14	26	-16	42	13.5	15.4	-1.96	16.4	12.6	3.77
Ty Lawson	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	-7	24	14.3	13.0	1.28	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Arron Afflalo	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	1	8	14.3	12.8	1.55	15.2	16.3	-1.16
Darrell Arthur	56	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-3	16	14.4	13.4	1.03	16.1	14.5	1.54
Alonzo Gee	52	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	13.7	14.2	-0.48	14.5	16.4	-1.86
Erick Green	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	17.7	13.8	3.93	10.0	15.6	-5.60
Nate Robinson	39	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.29	-11	21	-32	14.2	13.9	0.29	13.9	16.5	-2.59
Gary Harris	29	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	22	-34	12.8	14.5	-1.73	15.0	15.6	-0.63
JJ Hickson	50	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	16	-22	13.2	14.7	-1.49	14.7	16.2	-1.50

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	43	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.33	12	-22	34	13.4	17.1	-3.68	14.6	13.5	1.02
Ryan Hollins	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-21	32	11.4	15.6	-4.24	19.0	13.7	5.29
Ray McCallum	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	15.3	15.5	-0.24	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Derrick Williams	26	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.33	7	-17	24	15.7	15.3	0.37	12.9	14.4	-1.57
Carl Landry	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.9	15.1	0.71	12.6	14.8	-2.19
Jason Thompson	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	5	-20	15.9	14.8	1.04	14.1	13.8	0.25
Ben McLemore	58	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-6	2	15.2	15.8	-0.67	14.9	12.6	2.25
Rudy Gay	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	7	-24	15.7	14.5	1.21	14.1	13.5	0.69
DeMarcus Cousins	78	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	12	-34	16.2	12.4	3.80	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Darren Collison	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	9	-28	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.0	13.8	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 84, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 107, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%