NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	100		Excitement	4.0 [1009]		MVP	Channing Frye (ORL): +9.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.4 [731]		LVP	Ben Gordon (ORL): -9.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	8	84%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	-0.03	-0.03	10	78%	0.14	5	-0.10	3	0%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	48%	0.05	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Sergey Karasev	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	58%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Jarrett Jack	-0.07	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	8	37%	-0.00	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	13	63%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Devyn Marble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	11	46%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	52%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.05	0.10	9	64%	-0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	24.4	15.7	25.2	2.5	42.3	135.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +47.6%

BKN +2.2%

BKN +11.9%

ORL -16.0%

BKN +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ORL	NBA	BKN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.1	101.0	99.0	104.2
season	15.3	14.9		102.9	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.3	13.9	14.2	14.6	14.5
ORL	16.8	16.7	15.1	10.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	2	-2	14.5	14.8	-0.37	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Alan Anderson	50	51	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-1	4	13.8	15.3	-1.53	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Deron Williams	62	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	4	-6	13.9	15.5	-1.64	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Jarrett Jack	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.51	-7	9	-16	15.0	13.5	1.41	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Mason Plumlee	53	51	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	-2	6	15.2	13.7	1.57	15.1	14.0	1.16
Mirza Teletovic	39	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-7	16	13.6	15.1	-1.48	15.6	13.8	1.80
Sergey Karasev	70	69	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.22	-2	4	-6	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.6	14.6	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	35	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	4	-6	16.3	13.6	2.69	14.7	14.5	0.24
Brook Lopez	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	-5	12	14.3	14.6	-0.33	15.4	14.1	1.32

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	0	-2	15.1	14.3	0.74	15.2	14.2	1.01
Dewayne Dedmon	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	18.2	14.1	4.06	11.8	14.9	-3.03
Ben Gordon	44	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-15	28	13.0	15.8	-2.80	13.5	15.4	-1.84
Devyn Marble	40	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.65	17	-19	36	13.7	15.1	-1.39	15.0	14.1	0.87
Elfrid Payton	74	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.62	12	-14	26	14.1	16.0	-1.91	15.3	12.3	2.99
Channing Frye	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-5	8	13.8	15.5	-1.75	13.7	15.6	-1.94
Evan Fournier	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	13.5	16.4	-2.96	13.7	15.8	-2.15
Victor Oladipo	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	17	-36	15.8	13.0	2.78	15.0	13.9	1.14
Nikola Vucevic	55	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	12	-26	15.3	13.7	1.57	14.9	14.0	0.86
Tobias Harris	62	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	19	-40	16.0	12.2	3.72	14.9	13.9	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 112, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHI 103, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%