inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 82 Excitement2.4 [1253] MVPAl Jefferson (CHA): +10.0%
Charlotte Hornets 110 Comeback1.0 [875] LVPNate Robinson (DEN): -6.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.001560%0.074-0.0600%0.00
Erick Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02633%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.000,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02373%0.032-0.03580%-0.01
Alonzo Gee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.080.000.09865%-0.011-0.007100%-0.00
JJ Hickson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03325%-0.021-0.0020%-0.03
Gary Harris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01429%-0.0300.00667%0.00
Timofey Mozgov-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011235%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.00940%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Nate Robinson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.130.00-0.071421%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.000.051373%0.1000.00450%-0.01
Kemba Walker0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.021260%0.101-0.016100%0.02
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02872%0.052-0.022100%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02756%0.032-0.01450%-0.02
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.043100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeff Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0000.0020%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04283%0.0000.00250%0.00
PJ Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.011145%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01533%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02570%-0.004-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.730.215.426.40.129.4129.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +34.1%
CHA +2.2%
CHA +2.4%
CHA +9.8%
CHA +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game15.115.515.187.2117.0104.2
season14.615.6103.498.9
opponent15.115.3102.6106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.913.914.914.815.1
CHA14.416.815.815.215.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Erick Green2931-0.02-0.480.460.22-8-201214.215.5-1.3515.615.50.12
Gary Harris3433-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-282814.315.5-1.2315.415.6-0.26
Jusuf Nurkic3938-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-221615.115.1-0.0515.315.7-0.45
Timofey Mozgov3029-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-221616.414.51.9015.315.6-0.27
JJ Hickson2527-0.19-0.310.120.28-16-12-413.615.7-2.0516.115.30.81
Nate Robinson4143-0.25-0.250.000.31-19-9-1014.715.4-0.6615.215.8-0.55
Wilson Chandler4848-0.30-0.20-0.110.08-13-15216.014.21.8715.515.6-0.11
Kenneth Faried4240-0.32-0.18-0.130.07-13-15216.414.12.2615.315.7-0.32
Alonzo Gee5960-0.33-0.17-0.160.34-23-5-1814.316.5-2.2915.615.40.23
Ty Lawson6161-0.33-0.17-0.160.26-20-8-1215.015.3-0.3515.615.40.21
Arron Afflalo6260-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-16-12-415.614.21.4415.815.10.74

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams51500.360.140.22-0.372532216.015.01.0213.916.5-2.66
Al Jefferson49510.350.150.19-0.061414016.114.91.1515.414.70.67
Gary Neal48460.310.190.12-0.251991016.414.71.7213.416.7-3.36
Kemba Walker57570.300.200.10-0.231810815.815.10.7015.314.90.40
PJ Hairston41420.260.240.01-0.271810815.615.50.0914.515.6-1.18
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist41420.250.250.01-0.071117-615.415.6-0.2517.013.53.51
Brian Roberts37370.200.30-0.10-0.091018-815.115.8-0.7014.915.3-0.40
Gerald Henderson36370.180.32-0.14-0.02721-1414.915.9-0.9516.614.12.54
Bismack Biyombo33310.150.35-0.19-0.231315-215.215.7-0.4915.215.10.08
Cody Zeller37370.140.36-0.220.05325-2215.415.6-0.2116.414.32.05
Jannero Pargo16160.000.50-0.500.00028-2814.415.8-1.3915.215.10.10
Jeff Taylor12120.000.50-0.50-0.03127-2614.215.7-1.5713.715.3-1.65
Jason Maxiell12120.000.50-0.50-0.03127-2614.215.7-1.5713.715.3-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 63, PHI 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
ATL 88, CLE 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
NYK 82, IND 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%