NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	101		Excitement	8.6 [172]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +45.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	4.4 [126]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -68.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.46	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.22	0.26	0.02	22	75%	0.53	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.04
Alexis Ajinca	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	15	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	17	35%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.09	-0.00	13	68%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Perry Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.02	9	63%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.26,-0.35,-0.68	-0.68	-0.11	-0.56	0.00	27	45%	-0.40	6	-0.28	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	25.4	15.6	27.0	2.5	29.4	125.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +57.8%

OKC -3.6%

OKC -14.4%

NOP +9.4%

NOP +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.1	106.3	106.5	104.2
season	15.8	14.5		106.3	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		103.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	14.3	16.6	16.4	15.8
OKC	12.8	15.8	13.4	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	75	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	6	-10	15.6	16.6	-1.08	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Ryan Anderson	49	50	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-9	20	16.5	15.0	1.47	16.3	13.1	3.18
Jrue Holiday	73	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.55	-5	7	-12	15.5	16.7	-1.21	14.7	15.1	-0.40
Omer Asik	52	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	6	-10	15.7	16.0	-0.28	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Austin Rivers	35	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-9	20	15.9	15.8	0.09	16.1	14.1	1.94
Tyreke Evans	70	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.53	-9	11	-20	15.9	15.4	0.54	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Dante Cunningham	60	57	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-4	10	15.4	16.5	-1.04	15.0	14.6	0.44
John Salmons	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-5	12	15.2	15.9	-0.66	15.5	14.7	0.74
Alexis Ajinca	20	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-4	10	16.6	15.6	1.08	15.9	14.5	1.39
Luke Babbitt	28	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	11	-20	16.2	15.6	0.54	13.1	15.6	-2.46

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-4	6	14.5	15.1	-0.55	16.9	15.0	1.86
Kendrick Perkins	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	5	-12	16.2	14.3	1.82	16.3	15.6	0.71
Jeremy Lamb	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	5	-12	13.3	15.1	-1.77	16.2	15.7	0.41
Andre Roberson	52	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-4	6	13.9	16.0	-2.01	15.1	16.8	-1.77
Perry Jones	53	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-8	14	15.3	14.1	1.19	16.0	15.5	0.52
Steven Adams	65	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-9	16	14.4	15.9	-1.57	15.8	15.8	0.01
Nick Collison	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	8	-18	16.6	14.3	2.37	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Serge Ibaka	74	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.51	6	-8	14	14.3	17.1	-2.80	16.0	15.1	0.87
Russell Westbrook	68	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.50	5	-7	12	14.6	15.4	-0.73	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Reggie Jackson	55	58	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.40	-14	12	-26	16.0	13.1	2.87	15.6	16.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, LAC 74	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.34,0.09,0	91.3%
PHX 106, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.57,0.15,0.05,0	90.8%
SAS 94, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.33,0.02,0	90.7%