NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	8.1 [229]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): +33.0%
Charlotte Hornets	106		Comeback	5.7 [276]		LVP	Gary Neal (CHA): -16.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.33	0.10	0.23	0.01	13	64%	0.37	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.06
Gerald Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	11	67%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.02	17	54%	0.01	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Eric Bledsoe	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	44%	0.06	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	22	61%	0.20	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.2,0	0.00	0.12	-0.13	-0.01	20	59%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
Bismack Biyombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.16	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.5	33.3	15.6	25.6	2.3	30.6	130.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.2%

PHX +1.3%

CHA -6.2%

PHX +3.1%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHA	NBA	PHX	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.1	122.0	117.8	104.2
season	14.4	15.6		103.7	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.9	16.3	15.4	12.2	14.9
CHA	14.7	18.0	16.6	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-6	17	14.6	16.7	-2.09	16.8	17.4	-0.64
Isaiah Thomas	51	52	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-6	17	14.4	15.6	-1.25	18.3	15.0	3.35
Goran Dragic	72	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	14.4	17.1	-2.69	17.1	16.3	0.79
Marcus Morris	45	47	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	1	3	14.5	15.3	-0.86	17.7	16.1	1.57
Miles Plumlee	36	35	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	5	-5	14.6	15.1	-0.52	17.9	16.3	1.55
Gerald Green	38	37	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	3	-1	16.9	13.5	3.48	16.9	16.9	0.01
Markieff Morris	46	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	7	-9	15.3	14.5	0.86	15.6	18.2	-2.58
Alex Len	37	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	9	-13	15.2	14.7	0.49	15.7	17.8	-2.10
PJ Tucker	54	53	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	13	-21	15.3	14.4	0.83	16.1	18.1	-1.94

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	49	49	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.21	-2	-3	1	16.7	17.1	-0.43	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Bismack Biyombo	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.11	5	-10	15	14.7	17.3	-2.60	19.5	14.2	5.38
Cody Zeller	45	47	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.11	-3	-2	-1	15.9	18.0	-2.09	15.1	14.7	0.38
Brian Roberts	19	18	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-6	7	17.6	16.7	0.91	16.4	14.6	1.83
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	17.5	16.1	1.38	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Gerald Henderson	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	16.1	17.6	-1.53	15.5	14.4	1.07
Al Jefferson	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	17.4	15.5	1.93	14.1	17.4	-3.36
Kemba Walker	71	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	16.7	17.6	-0.91	14.6	16.4	-1.83
Marvin Williams	43	43	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	-2	-1	17.6	16.3	1.37	14.2	15.6	-1.35
Gary Neal	48	50	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.46	-14	9	-23	17.5	16.2	1.26	15.3	14.4	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.85,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 82, MEM 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.15,0	92.2%
MIA 92, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.84,0.27,0	90.6%
NJN 89, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.42,0	90.5%