NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	5.7 [680]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +16.7%
Toronto Raptors	91		Comeback	1.1 [528]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (TOR): -17.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	3	89%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	18	57%	0.16	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	16	47%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	56%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	15	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	18	50%	0.07	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	11	18%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	33.2	17.5	25.5	2.6	32.3	138.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.1%

CLE +3.3%

CLE +8.8%

TOR -1.0%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.1	116.7	100.0	104.2
season	15.9	15.6		108.7	109.1
opponent	15.0	14.9		106.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	15.7	15.4	19.4	16.2
TOR	17.6	16.3	14.6	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	61	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-6	26	17.1	14.2	2.96	14.8	17.4	-2.64
Kevin Love	76	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	1	12	15.8	18.1	-2.33	15.6	15.6	0.01
Kyrie Irving	71	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-2	18	16.5	15.1	1.36	16.0	14.3	1.64
Shawn Marion	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-2	18	15.4	17.6	-2.25	16.1	14.8	1.29
LeBron James	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.05	11	3	8	15.8	20.0	-4.25	15.4	17.9	-2.49
James Jones	26	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	11	-8	18.2	15.3	2.89	14.5	16.1	-1.61
Anderson Varejao	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	14	-14	15.5	16.5	-1.00	16.5	15.2	1.27
Dion Waiters	44	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	21	-28	16.5	15.9	0.54	16.3	15.1	1.15
Joe Harris	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	16	-18	1.0	16.3	-15.35	0.0	15.6	-15.65

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	9	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-18	22	12.9	16.0	-3.06	17.2	16.1	1.18
Charles Hayes	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	16.8	15.4	1.37	19.4	15.5	3.96
James Johnson	54	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-18	22	14.3	17.6	-3.33	16.8	15.3	1.45
Greivis Vasquez	55	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-5	-4	16.2	14.9	1.30	15.1	17.8	-2.68
Patrick Patterson	50	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.4	15.9	-0.46	16.5	15.8	0.78
Jonas Valanciunas	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-3	-8	16.0	15.4	0.63	14.9	17.3	-2.39
Kyle Lowry	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-6	-2	16.1	13.5	2.61	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Amir Johnson	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	1	-16	15.8	15.4	0.39	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Terrence Ross	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	1	-16	16.0	15.1	0.90	16.3	15.9	0.38
Lou Williams	35	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-3	-8	15.2	15.9	-0.73	16.7	15.8	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	96.0%
LAL 101, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
PHX 116, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%