inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement5.6 [686] MVPO.J. Mayo (MIL): +17.6%
Milwaukee Bucks 98 Comeback2.2 [593] LVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -24.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.000.021572%0.143-0.08250%-0.01
Jonas Jerebko0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.001100%0.01
Kyle Singler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.01-0.041040%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cartier Martin-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.000.051068%0.083-0.08250%-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02350%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00933%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01944%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Josh Smith-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.011037%-0.062-0.031020%-0.12
D.J. Augustin-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.10-0.070.021146%-0.045-0.152100%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.04-0.031071%0.222-0.044100%0.03
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.04-0.031150%0.1000.00475%0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.020.061271%0.102-0.05475%-0.00
Jabari Parker0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.031067%0.092-0.0510%-0.02
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.00350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.02-0.021250%0.0300.0000%0.00
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.0110.0100%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02367%0.043-0.0500%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02736%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01850%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.23-0.06-0.05138%-0.173-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.527.215.529.32.426.5126.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +21.9%
MIL +15.1%
MIL +5.1%
MIL +9.7%
DET -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMILNBADETMILNBA
this game15.415.415.191.5105.4104.2
season15.714.5104.0100.5
opponent15.715.3101.0105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.817.214.217.415.4
MIL14.514.913.020.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin33-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-131414.715.5-0.7819.315.24.09
Joel Anthony33-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-131414.715.5-0.7819.315.24.09
Spencer Dinwiddie2019-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-10817.015.02.0015.115.5-0.41
Jonas Jerebko3030-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-10817.514.43.1016.814.72.15
Andre Drummond6565-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-10814.717.0-2.2815.515.00.49
Caron Butler4746-0.25-0.250.01-0.13-4-8416.414.51.8715.715.10.55
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope4545-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-2-814.416.3-1.9213.916.7-2.84
Kyle Singler5656-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-8-4-416.214.31.8216.114.21.88
Greg Monroe6361-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-142-1615.615.10.4915.016.1-1.05
D.J. Augustin7474-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.18-10-2-815.017.0-2.0015.515.10.41
Josh Smith7171-0.540.04-0.57-0.07-164-2014.518.3-3.8714.418.5-4.03

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
O.J. Mayo57580.430.070.370.0214-21614.516.8-2.3314.816.5-1.74
Jared Dudley29290.410.090.320.12102817.114.62.5619.213.85.42
Brandon Knight64630.380.120.270.09102814.916.5-1.6614.716.9-2.20
Zaza Pachulia30300.280.220.070.1166017.314.52.7917.814.33.54
Ersan Ilyasova37390.250.250.010.1739-615.915.00.9017.014.32.73
Jabari Parker56550.250.25-0.01-0.0293615.015.9-0.9014.317.0-2.73
John Henson770.140.36-0.22-0.0466016.615.31.2918.715.23.55
Jerryd Bayless29310.120.38-0.270.06210-816.514.91.6616.914.72.20
Giannis Antetokounmpo64650.090.41-0.320.03210-814.617.1-2.5613.819.2-5.42
Larry Sanders56570.080.42-0.350.08012-1214.217.1-2.9213.818.0-4.25
Khris Middleton36360.070.43-0.370.13-214-1616.814.52.3316.514.81.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 86, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
MIA 89, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,194.4%
CHI 69, IND 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%