NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	110		Excitement	2.0 [1292]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +14.9%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	1.1 [926]		LVP	Shabazz Napier (MIA): -4.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	0.00	0.05	13	76%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.06	18	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.13	2	75%	0.02	5	0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	86%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.03	2	0.00	2	100%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	0.00	0.09	17	65%	0.08	0	0.00	9	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	81%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Justin Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	0.00	0.12	9	71%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	30.6	17.0	31.2	2.8	33.0	140.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.5%

MIA -5.6%

LAC +4.0%

LAC +13.9%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIA	NBA	LAC	MIA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.4	15.1	123.6	105.7	104.2
season	14.6	16.0		110.5	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	16.2	16.4	18.3	16.2
MIA	19.1	17.3	16.3	13.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	57	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.45	31	-14	45	15.8	16.8	-0.97	18.2	13.4	4.79
Chris Paul	61	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.42	29	-12	41	15.3	18.1	-2.84	18.0	13.2	4.78
Blake Griffin	55	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.48	31	-14	45	15.3	17.5	-2.13	17.8	14.2	3.68
Matt Barnes	45	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	-2	21	16.1	16.2	-0.09	18.2	14.6	3.64
JJ Redick	43	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.21	18	-1	19	16.0	16.3	-0.35	17.0	15.9	1.08
Jamal Crawford	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	8	1	15.3	17.1	-1.82	16.3	16.5	-0.13
Hedo Turkoglu	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	15	-13	15.7	16.3	-0.60	15.8	16.7	-0.88
Jordan Farmar	28	30	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.37	-10	27	-37	18.1	15.3	2.84	13.2	18.0	-4.78
Spencer Hawes	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.51	-15	32	-47	16.4	16.0	0.45	14.2	18.1	-3.92
Glen Davis	27	29	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.54	-17	34	-51	18.2	15.3	2.91	13.2	17.9	-4.69
Reggie Bullock	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	20.0	15.8	4.22	11.1	16.9	-5.79
Jared Cunningham	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	20.0	15.8	4.22	11.1	16.9	-5.79

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Hamilton	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	11.1	16.9	-5.79	20.0	15.8	4.22
Danny Granger	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-12	7	14.7	16.7	-1.99	16.4	16.1	0.30
Shannon Brown	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	-13	9	13.8	18.8	-4.98	17.0	15.4	1.55
Josh McRoberts	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-12	7	16.0	16.6	-0.61	15.2	16.5	-1.31
James Ennis	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-11	5	16.0	16.5	-0.52	14.8	16.6	-1.85
Shabazz Napier	58	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.26	3	-20	23	16.1	16.9	-0.73	16.1	16.3	-0.22
Chris Andersen	38	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-6	-5	16.6	16.2	0.39	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Shawne Williams	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-10	3	16.5	16.3	0.19	16.8	15.5	1.25
Norris Cole	19	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	0	-17	18.2	15.9	2.26	14.4	16.6	-2.27
Mario Chalmers	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	17.5	14.0	3.45	16.7	15.0	1.72
Luol Deng	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-8	-1	17.5	14.9	2.53	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Chris Bosh	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	0	-17	17.1	15.1	2.04	15.9	16.6	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAS 118, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAC 107, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%