inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement4.3 [960] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +10.8%
Los Angeles Lakers 80 Comeback1.3 [1087] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -22.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.00876%0.131-0.021100%0.00
Matt Bonner0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.000.04483%0.0500.004100%0.02
Kawhi Leonard0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01686%0.093-0.0720%-0.03
Manu Ginobili0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.01-0.02941%0.0200.004100%0.02
Aron Baynes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.021058%0.022-0.02475%0.01
Tony Parker-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.01952%0.063-0.073100%0.01
Danny Green-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.010.041045%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0240%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.021229%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.011363%0.102-0.05475%-0.00
Ryan Kelly0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00362%0.0400.002100%0.01
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.01460%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.05653%-0.011-0.02367%0.01
Jeremy Lin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.031158%0.013-0.054100%0.00
Robert Sacre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.02546%-0.021-0.0330%-0.05
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.030.031333%-0.101-0.03450%-0.03
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.20-0.06-0.041424%-0.134-0.09978%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.83.728.816.427.43.431.6132.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.2%
SAS +1.6%
LAL -0.9%
SAS +11.1%
SAS +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.315.515.1102.288.9104.2
season15.415.5106.9101.9
opponent14.714.9108.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.915.915.620.616.3
LAL15.518.412.716.315.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili46450.56-0.060.62-0.3230-174716.915.71.2515.915.20.69
Boris Diaw43430.460.040.430.081301317.015.71.2515.715.40.29
Tony Parker59580.410.090.31-0.0616-31916.416.10.2615.914.71.20
Cory Joseph48470.330.170.170.04103717.814.63.2114.816.3-1.54
Aron Baynes35360.260.240.010.1158-318.115.22.8616.315.01.31
Tim Duncan52500.240.26-0.010.0767-115.217.7-2.4414.916.3-1.44
Danny Green58580.150.35-0.19-0.0576115.218.2-3.0514.816.8-2.05
Kawhi Leonard37370.040.46-0.420.07-114-1513.718.1-4.3716.215.01.18
Matt Bonner40400.040.46-0.43-0.29112914.717.5-2.7615.815.30.45
Kyle Anderson17180.000.50-0.490.36-1225-3717.516.01.4417.115.11.92
Jeff Ayres12110.000.50-0.500.26-922-3118.516.02.5414.415.7-1.32
Austin Daye870.000.50-0.500.32-1124-3520.515.94.6113.115.7-2.58

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Xavier Henry780.00-0.500.50-0.3211-243513.115.7-2.5820.515.94.61
Jordan Hill5454-0.15-0.350.200.14-10-3-716.114.61.5615.317.8-2.46
Ryan Kelly2019-0.16-0.340.190.19-12-1-1120.114.25.8918.615.72.88
Robert Sacre2324-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-141518.614.54.1519.415.24.18
Jeremy Lin7172-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.11-6-7116.013.92.0615.718.6-2.88
Carlos Boozer6464-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-3-714.418.3-3.9215.119.1-4.05
Jordan Clarkson3940-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.22-4-9515.015.9-0.9717.415.42.06
Wesley Johnson6667-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-163-1914.418.6-4.1715.219.4-4.18
Ed Davis3637-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-10714.616.1-1.5617.815.32.46
Kobe Bryant7070-0.37-0.13-0.250.10-163-1915.416.0-0.6116.316.4-0.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 100, MIN 840.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
POR 90, MIN 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,095.3%
MIA 116, MIN 1060.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,095.1%