inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 81 Excitement8.4 [187] MVPDonald Sloan (IND): +25.2%
Miami Heat 75 Comeback2.8 [127] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -46.6%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donald Sloan0.250,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.250.060.200.011068%0.292-0.042100%0.03
Ian Mahinmi0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.001100%0.0900.001100%0.01
Chris Copeland0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06-0.020.07-0.011750%0.143-0.0800%0.00
Luis Scola0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Damjan Rudez-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00333%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
A.J. Price-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.001229%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14-0.02-0.13-0.01643%-0.101-0.042100%0.02
Solomon Hill-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.13-0.06-0.011228%-0.132-0.05875%-0.02
Roy Hibbert-0.300,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.06-0.210.031453%-0.015-0.292100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.180.180.030.180.031651%0.211-0.03743%-0.07
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.170.030.016107%0.1800.00250%-0.01
James Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01756%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.030.00367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.0010%-0.051-0.0420%-0.06
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.011331%-0.092-0.05367%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17-0.17-0.07-0.12-0.021025%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.34,-0.47-0.47-0.08-0.38-0.00839%-0.033-0.44250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.628.216.424.03.034.3134.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA -17.4%
IND +16.1%
IND +45.4%
IND +2.9%
IND +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game19.015.715.196.491.5104.2
season16.016.0102.3102.4
opponent15.315.0105.4102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND18.118.121.418.319.0
MIA16.116.914.615.115.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roy Hibbert60590.54-0.040.580.2211-51618.619.8-1.1414.917.6-2.68
Damjan Rudez24250.470.030.440.1710-41419.218.90.3814.816.1-1.27
Donald Sloan62590.420.080.340.2851418.221.1-2.9315.316.7-1.47
Solomon Hill72730.390.110.290.2842219.615.54.0615.517.1-1.60
Chris Copeland62590.340.160.190.3115-418.620.0-1.4516.214.31.98
Luis Scola32320.220.28-0.06-0.018-21018.719.2-0.5216.015.50.52
A.J. Price32310.080.42-0.350.0806-619.718.51.1516.715.01.70
Lavoy Allen52490.070.43-0.350.19-410-1419.218.70.5215.316.2-0.83
Ian Mahinmi2423-0.040.54-0.580.11-511-1619.818.61.1417.614.92.68

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shabazz Napier22230.26-0.761.010.086-121817.015.21.8619.918.61.23
James Ennis13140.05-0.550.610.021-7816.815.51.2917.019.4-2.37
Udonis Haslem11-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-5418.015.72.3517.019.0-2.00
Shawne Williams3839-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-4215.915.50.3518.519.4-0.96
Chris Andersen3030-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-5416.015.50.5519.918.51.39
Norris Cole4645-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-60-615.615.8-0.2220.317.52.83
Josh McRoberts3839-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-81016.315.11.2318.819.2-0.39
Mario Chalmers4749-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.32-4-2-214.816.9-2.1518.819.2-0.43
Chris Bosh5759-0.560.06-0.62-0.27-104-1414.917.5-2.5919.018.80.19
Dwyane Wade5960-0.560.06-0.62-0.41-5-1-416.314.12.1618.320.7-2.37
Luol Deng5961-0.600.10-0.69-0.30-104-1415.117.1-1.9518.919.1-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.5,0.63,0.6,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 103, SAC 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.42,092.0%
DEN 83, VAN 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.49,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,091.7%
DAL 112, MIL 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,091.5%