NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	7.9 [274]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +32.6%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	25.5 [78]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -26.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	11	73%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	15	67%	0.21	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.02	0.09	-0.09	0.01	11	77%	0.21	3	-0.23	4	50%	-0.04
Dante Exum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.13	0.02	16	31%	-0.21	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.06
Trey Burke	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	0.00	15	37%	-0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.33	0.33	0.10	0.22	-0.00	10	74%	0.37	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	-0.00	23	65%	0.26	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	12	62%	0.21	4	-0.28	8	75%	0.02
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	10	40%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.5	15.3	22.4	1.7	29.5	123.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +45.8%

ATL +14.3%

ATL +30.7%

UTA -39.6%

UTA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.1	106.6	111.1	104.2
season	16.2	14.9		103.8	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	16.7	14.5	16.0	15.9
ATL	14.9	15.2	16.2	17.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	53	52	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-8	13	16.4	15.1	1.28	16.5	15.2	1.27
Rudy Gobert	22	21	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-10	17	14.7	16.3	-1.58	19.0	15.0	3.99
Dante Exum	36	35	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-5	7	15.7	16.0	-0.21	16.1	15.8	0.32
Joe Ingles	32	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	14.7	16.5	-1.79	16.6	15.6	0.96
Steve Novak	0	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-3	3	0.0	15.9	-15.88	0.0	16.1	-16.12
Ian Clark	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	5	-13	18.2	15.6	2.60	12.3	16.3	-4.01
Gordon Hayward	58	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.59	9	-12	21	15.7	16.2	-0.57	17.6	12.8	4.84
Alec Burks	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	7	-17	15.9	15.8	0.05	14.7	20.4	-5.67
Trey Burke	66	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	2	-7	16.4	14.6	1.76	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Derrick Favors	69	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	7	-17	16.3	14.7	1.58	15.0	19.0	-3.99
Trevor Booker	38	37	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.48	-8	5	-13	15.1	16.4	-1.28	15.6	16.2	-0.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pero Antic	39	39	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.39	17	-14	31	14.1	17.4	-3.30	15.1	16.4	-1.31
Kyle Korver	73	75	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-13	29	15.4	18.5	-3.11	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Jeff Teague	63	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	15.5	17.1	-1.61	16.3	14.8	1.51
Paul Millsap	76	76	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-4	11	15.8	16.9	-1.17	15.6	17.3	-1.74
Thabo Sefolosha	64	64	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	15.8	16.3	-0.56	16.3	15.0	1.30
Kent Bazemore	20	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	7	-11	13.6	16.6	-3.01	15.9	15.9	0.08
Mike Muscala	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	16.9	15.8	1.17	17.3	15.6	1.74
Shelvin Mack	17	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	20.6	14.9	5.73	13.7	16.4	-2.76
Dennis Schroder	33	34	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.04	-10	13	-23	17.5	15.0	2.48	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Al Horford	51	52	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	0.02	-14	17	-31	17.4	14.1	3.30	16.4	15.1	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.17,0.05,0.15,0.24,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 111, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.27,1	91.6%
VAN 85, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.11,0.42,1	91.2%
MEM 98, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.13,0.28,1	91.0%