NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	71		Excitement	8.0 [253]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +21.5%
Charlotte Hornets	69		Comeback	2.4 [381]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -21.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.22	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.22	-0.01	0.22	-0.00	18	54%	0.36	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	8	56%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	8	37%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	14	29%	0.04	3	-0.21	3	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.09
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	19	45%	0.10	2	-0.19	4	75%	-0.04
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	11	20%	-0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	29.4	20.3	24.5	2.4	34.3	138.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +22.3%

MEM +17.6%

MEM +9.8%

MEM +1.9%

CHA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.1	74.7	72.6	104.2
season	15.9	15.6		103.8	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.2		102.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	15.2	17.0	16.3	15.8
CHA	14.3	12.1	16.5	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	70	71	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-7	16	15.7	16.3	-0.66	14.9	13.2	1.65
Tony Allen	64	64	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-2	6	16.3	14.8	1.52	15.1	13.2	1.92
Zach Randolph	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-2	6	17.1	14.3	2.81	15.2	13.6	1.69
Mike Conley	64	62	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.52	-4	6	-10	16.8	13.9	2.86	15.1	13.4	1.72
Tayshaun Prince	37	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	2	-2	16.4	15.5	0.90	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Quincy Pondexter	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	2	-2	14.2	16.9	-2.65	13.3	15.2	-1.85
Beno Udrih	42	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	-3	8	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.5	14.5	0.03
Vince Carter	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	1	0	15.2	16.3	-1.11	14.6	14.4	0.28
Kosta Koufos	41	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	15.1	16.4	-1.33	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Jon Leuer	25	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	8	-14	15.5	16.0	-0.48	12.8	15.1	-2.26

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	49	48	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-11	20	12.9	16.2	-3.36	15.9	15.8	0.05
Gerald Henderson	36	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-3	4	13.6	15.0	-1.41	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Brian Roberts	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.13	-4	2	-6	13.7	15.0	-1.28	14.6	16.6	-1.97
Jason Maxiell	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	13.2	14.9	-1.76	13.6	16.5	-2.93
Lance Stephenson	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	0	-2	14.3	14.7	-0.47	16.1	15.5	0.55
Gary Neal	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-3	4	14.7	14.3	0.43	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Al Jefferson	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-7	12	14.9	13.2	1.76	16.5	13.6	2.93
Kemba Walker	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.57	2	-4	6	15.0	13.7	1.28	16.6	14.6	1.97
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	53	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.7	1.38	16.6	14.9	1.77
Marvin Williams	46	47	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	9	-20	16.2	12.9	3.36	15.8	15.9	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.84,0.68,0.58,0	93.1%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	91.1%
NYK 80, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0	91.0%