NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	3.4 [1110]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +9.5%
Miami Heat	98		Comeback	1.5 [988]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (MIA): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	13	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.01	0.08	17	54%	0.06	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	7	69%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.20	0.00	0.10	20	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	13	92%	0.04
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.00	-0.05	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	3	117%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	4	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	0.07	7	59%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	17%	-0.11	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	3.3	30.6	15.8	30.5	2.6	30.0	136.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +5.3%

MIA +10.5%

MIA +6.8%

MIA +19.3%

MIA +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	17.1	16.8	15.1	101.2	115.3	105.2
season	15.8	15.6		102.7	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.2		105.1	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	17.4	17.8	15.6	17.1
MIA	16.9	19.5	13.0	18.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-16	20	17.3	17.0	0.26	18.2	16.1	2.11
Rasual Butler	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	0.0	17.1	-17.08	17.0	16.8	0.20
Lavoy Allen	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	0.0	17.1	-17.08	17.0	16.8	0.20
Donald Sloan	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	0.0	17.1	-17.08	17.0	16.8	0.20
Chris Copeland	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	12.5	17.4	-4.93	20.7	16.5	4.16
CJ Watson	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-16	20	16.8	17.3	-0.48	17.0	16.7	0.34
Luis Scola	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-14	16	16.7	17.3	-0.68	16.9	16.7	0.19
Ian Mahinmi	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-13	14	16.7	17.2	-0.51	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Roy Hibbert	60	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	4	-20	17.2	16.7	0.51	17.0	16.4	0.63
David West	46	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	4	-20	18.0	16.0	1.95	16.2	17.5	-1.27
Lance Stephenson	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	8	-28	17.2	16.8	0.35	17.4	15.4	1.99
George Hill	59	57	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	4	-20	17.1	17.1	0.01	16.6	17.1	-0.46
Paul George	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	2	-16	17.1	17.2	-0.10	15.8	22.4	-6.59

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	56	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	-12	36	16.3	17.7	-1.40	17.0	17.3	-0.37
Mario Chalmers	49	51	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.14	24	-12	36	17.5	15.8	1.68	17.5	16.5	0.97
LeBron James	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-1	14	15.6	20.3	-4.75	17.3	16.3	1.06
Chris Bosh	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	-4	20	17.2	15.4	1.77	16.9	17.9	-1.09
Toney Douglas	29	27	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	14.1	18.2	-4.04	18.5	16.4	2.05
Ray Allen	51	52	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	10	-8	17.1	16.3	0.84	16.2	18.5	-2.24
Shane Battier	5	5	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	9	-6	16.2	16.8	-0.64	22.2	16.8	5.44
Rashard Lewis	36	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	17	-22	18.3	15.7	2.56	16.3	17.6	-1.31
James Jones	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	17.0	16.8	0.20	0.0	17.1	-17.08
Justin Hamilton	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	17.0	16.8	0.20	0.0	17.1	-17.08
Michael Beasley	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	17.0	16.8	0.20	0.0	17.1	-17.08
Norris Cole	40	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	20	-28	17.4	16.2	1.18	16.8	17.4	-0.58
Chris Andersen	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	21	-30	17.7	16.3	1.42	17.3	17.0	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
GSW 72, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%