NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	9.6 [96]		MVP	Dorell Wright (POR): +42.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	5.5 [422]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -17.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	29	49%	0.12	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.07
Ray McCallum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.03	0.13	-0.10	0.01	15	66%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Ben McLemore	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	13	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Derrick Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.42	0.42	-0.04	0.45	-0.02	5	30%	0.44	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	7	65%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	70%	0.17	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	8	69%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0,0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.13	-0.00	20	48%	-0.05	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.15,-0.18	-0.18	0.04	-0.22	-0.01	11	70%	0.21	5	-0.39	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	33.3	15.8	24.3	2.5	34.2	135.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +76.4%

POR +4.5%

POR +0.9%

SAC -30.4%

SAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	13.3	15.1	103.1	100.0	105.2
season	15.4	15.1		104.5	109.6
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.0	16.3	15.8	15.5	16.2
POR	12.0	12.0	16.2	13.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Cunningham	22	25	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.02	11	-12	23	15.5	16.4	-0.91	13.4	13.3	0.09
Jason Thompson	53	56	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	16.0	16.3	-0.31	13.7	12.7	1.05
Quincy Acy	17	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-3	5	15.1	16.4	-1.26	12.8	13.4	-0.61
Ben McLemore	65	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	6	-13	16.3	15.9	0.33	13.5	12.8	0.70
Derrick Williams	60	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-6	11	16.0	16.4	-0.42	12.2	15.1	-2.97
Ray McCallum	86	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.45	-1	0	-1	16.2	15.8	0.40	13.1	14.6	-1.51
Reggie Evans	47	48	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-3	5	16.4	16.0	0.40	12.9	13.7	-0.80
Travis Outlaw	56	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	8	-17	16.2	16.1	0.10	14.4	11.7	2.72
DeMarcus Cousins	74	75	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.46	-13	12	-25	16.5	14.9	1.62	13.4	13.1	0.28

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	78	75	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.52	12	-11	23	13.3	13.2	0.14	16.4	15.3	1.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	75	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-12	25	13.3	13.3	-0.08	16.4	15.3	1.11
Dorell Wright	32	33	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-4	9	13.0	13.4	-0.38	15.8	16.3	-0.56
Earl Watson	24	24	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-13	27	11.3	13.9	-2.57	17.0	15.9	1.18
Nicolas Batum	77	73	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.52	-11	12	-23	13.9	11.2	2.69	15.9	17.0	-1.05
Thomas Robinson	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	0	1	11.8	13.9	-2.11	16.4	16.1	0.28
Damian Lillard	79	74	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.49	-17	18	-35	13.6	12.1	1.51	15.9	17.2	-1.33
Robin Lopez	77	71	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	9	-17	13.6	12.4	1.17	16.2	16.1	0.10
Will Barton	27	27	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	5	-9	13.4	13.2	0.21	15.7	16.3	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.89,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.18,1	90.7%
DET 79, MIN 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.42,1	89.5%
HOU 83, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	89.5%