NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	1.9 [1299]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (CLE): +10.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Comeback	1.1 [1132]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -9.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	90%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Mitchell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	11	68%	-0.01	2	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Peyton Siva	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.01	18	41%	-0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	17	40%	-0.03	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	0.00	0.02	10	41%	-0.04	3	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.00	8	94%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	87%	0.06	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	11	82%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	77%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.01	2	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Hopson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	0.00	0.12	18	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	25.1	15.8	27.1	1.7	26.3	123.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.6%

DET -4.4%

DET -0.8%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.1	103.1	127.1	105.2
season	15.0	15.2		104.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	20.2	13.2	15.7	15.5
CLE	15.5	13.5	14.5	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Mitchell	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-29	36	15.4	15.6	-0.23	14.5	14.2	0.25
Gigi Datome	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-28	34	15.7	15.5	0.18	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	46	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	-11	0	15.8	15.3	0.45	14.3	14.2	0.10
Peyton Siva	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-11	0	18.2	13.6	4.55	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Jonas Jerebko	52	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-10	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.43	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Andre Drummond	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.21	-17	-5	-12	14.9	16.6	-1.69	14.6	13.8	0.83
Brandon Jennings	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.23	-18	-4	-14	14.5	17.7	-3.24	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Kyle Singler	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-8	-6	15.6	15.4	0.23	14.1	14.6	-0.52
Rodney Stuckey	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-4	-14	14.6	17.0	-2.47	15.2	13.0	2.22
Greg Monroe	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	0	-22	16.4	13.9	2.45	14.0	14.9	-0.88

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	61	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	2	18	14.1	14.5	-0.40	15.5	15.6	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	7	8	14.4	14.2	0.29	16.1	15.0	1.09
Matthew Dellavedova	62	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	4	14	14.1	14.6	-0.55	16.1	14.5	1.57
Jarrett Jack	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	4	14	14.6	14.0	0.65	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Tyler Zeller	48	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	8	6	14.2	14.4	-0.12	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Luol Deng	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	12	-2	14.4	14.1	0.32	15.7	15.4	0.26
Anderson Varejao	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	8	6	14.4	14.2	0.13	14.7	16.2	-1.48
Spencer Hawes	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.17	14	8	6	14.1	14.4	-0.29	16.6	14.9	1.69
Tristan Thompson	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	13	-4	14.4	14.2	0.12	15.9	15.2	0.65
Alonzo Gee	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	29	-36	14.5	14.2	0.25	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Scotty Hopson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	30	-38	13.5	14.4	-0.95	12.1	16.0	-3.90
Sergey Karasev	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	29	-36	14.3	14.3	-0.01	14.2	15.8	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 66, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
LAL 77, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
SAS 84, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%