inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 103 Excitement8.7 [167] MVPJerryd Bayless (BOS): +31.9%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback6.9 [332] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -39.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.320.150.17-0.001371%0.3200.002100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11-0.010.130.00861%0.213-0.10250%-0.01
Kelly Olynyk0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.090.050.040.00671%0.171-0.092100%0.01
Chris Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.01375%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Kris Humphries0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.02657%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Brandon Bass-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.030.01567%0.032-0.072100%0.01
Avery Bradley-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.01761%0.053-0.104100%0.02
Jeff Green-0.080,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.080.01-0.09-0.011457%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Phil Pressey-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.080.00250%-0.031-0.0700%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.21-0.02-0.170.011239%-0.2100.00450%-0.03

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.20.20-0.030.230.00850%0.252-0.0500%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.140.140.040.09-0.001162%0.212-0.072100%0.06
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.130.130.060.02-0.052750%0.161-0.036100%0.03
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.001357%0.1000.004100%0.02
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.003100%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Steve Novak00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.07-0.080.01665%-0.0100.00887%0.02
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.24,-0.39-0.39-0.13-0.27-0.011332%-0.193-0.21250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.11.726.116.325.52.633.3133.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS -17.0%
TOR +18.7%
TOR +37.4%
TOR +7.6%
TOR +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game14.416.915.1110.8115.4105.2
season15.415.9101.2107.2
opponent15.115.0104.2106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.014.015.214.414.4
TOR14.818.816.717.716.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Phil Pressey24240.38-0.881.260.0611-132415.114.10.9919.316.13.19
Chris Johnson34360.32-0.821.140.175-71214.814.20.6015.817.7-1.93
Kris Humphries38350.06-0.560.61-0.064-61013.714.9-1.1917.816.41.44
Kelly Olynyk38390.03-0.530.55-0.187-91614.814.10.7716.117.6-1.52
Avery Bradley4945-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.19-53-813.215.7-2.5016.717.2-0.42
Jerryd Bayless4848-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-4615.513.22.3917.216.60.65
Jared Sullinger6564-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-20-215.013.11.8817.016.70.29
Jeff Green5855-0.570.07-0.63-0.42-53-814.314.5-0.2517.715.81.93
Brandon Bass4544-0.660.16-0.83-0.28-1311-2413.815.0-1.1816.917.0-0.11
Rajon Rondo6665-0.930.43-1.35-0.52-1412-2614.015.2-1.1816.019.3-3.31

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry59630.65-0.150.800.505-3818.214.63.6315.212.62.64
Charles Hayes54530.64-0.140.770.2015-132816.317.9-1.6414.114.8-0.72
Greivis Vasquez47460.55-0.050.590.405-3816.117.8-1.6914.014.7-0.72
John Salmons46460.490.010.480.0515-132815.618.3-2.7014.314.4-0.08
Steve Novak010.250.250.010.192020.016.9-16.957.014.5-7.47
Jonas Valanciunas66670.210.29-0.07-0.059-71616.518.2-1.7314.414.30.11
Amir Johnson50520.210.29-0.090.59-1315-2818.515.03.4515.313.22.04
DeMar DeRozan64660.160.34-0.180.63-1618-3417.715.12.6614.913.11.85
Tyler Hansbrough1213-0.310.81-1.12-0.04-911-2016.117.1-0.9912.514.7-2.24
Terrence Ross5758-0.350.85-1.19-0.26-35-816.517.7-1.2113.216.4-3.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.21,0.23,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 107, BKN 1120.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.42,191.1%
SEA 77, SAS 790.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.28,190.8%
MIA 76, CHA 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,190.0%