NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	83		Excitement	9.8 [82]		MVP	James Johnson (MEM): +17.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	11.0 [96]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -33.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.15,0.08,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.01	0.14	-0.01	12	48%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.11
Nick Calathes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	85%	0.24	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	15	31%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31	-0.11	-0.18	0.02	11	33%	-0.11	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.34	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.08	-0.27	-0.02	16	40%	-0.10	3	-0.24	3	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	11	61%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	21	40%	0.00	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	0.08	-0.17	0.04	17	67%	0.32	5	-0.45	8	75%	-0.15
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.5	15.3	24.6	2.6	32.8	1.6	15.4	147.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +60.6%

MEM -25.5%

CLE +17.1%

MEM -7.8%

CLE +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	17.1	16.2	15.1	87.4	94.8	105.2
season	16.4	15.2		104.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		106.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	18.1	16.9	19.1	15.2	16.0	17.1
CLE	17.0	17.4	16.1	16.1	12.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	64	65	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.15	13	-21	34	17.3	16.7	0.64	17.6	13.4	4.20
Jon Leuer	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-6	4	11.0	17.2	-6.24	4.0	16.6	-12.59
Mike Miller	39	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.22	-8	0	-8	15.5	18.2	-2.79	14.1	17.8	-3.70
Nick Calathes	72	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-9	10	16.0	20.5	-4.45	16.8	14.3	2.54
Tayshaun Prince	49	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-10	12	18.5	15.6	2.86	17.4	15.0	2.41
Darius Morris	24	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	20.0	16.1	3.93	15.1	16.6	-1.51
Marc Gasol	70	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	16.8	18.0	-1.21	16.6	15.0	1.67
Ed Davis	20	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	3	-14	15.6	17.5	-1.84	16.4	16.2	0.21
Kosta Koufos	25	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	2	-12	18.0	16.8	1.21	15.6	16.4	-0.82
James Johnson	45	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	4	-16	15.8	18.3	-2.44	15.8	16.6	-0.80
Zach Randolph	65	66	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.67	-7	-1	-6	18.5	14.1	4.34	15.6	17.5	-1.94

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	70	71	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-10	28	15.1	19.3	-4.21	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Tyler Zeller	45	45	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.10	17	-9	26	15.7	16.6	-0.87	17.7	16.6	1.11
Tristan Thompson	52	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	7	-6	16.1	16.3	-0.18	17.3	16.9	0.41
Matthew Dellavedova	25	23	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	14.9	16.6	-1.73	18.5	16.7	1.87
Anderson Varejao	78	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	7	-6	16.6	14.6	1.95	16.9	18.1	-1.24
Anthony Bennett	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	2	4	14.6	16.4	-1.76	21.2	16.6	4.61
CJ Miles	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	4	0	15.6	16.7	-1.03	15.8	18.2	-2.40
Kyrie Irving	71	72	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	12	-16	16.6	14.9	1.73	16.7	18.5	-1.87
Luol Deng	59	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	13	-18	16.8	15.2	1.69	17.0	17.3	-0.26
Jarrett Jack	26	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	18	-28	19.3	15.1	4.21	17.4	17.0	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.83,0.55,0.55,0.16,0.27,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, SAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.79,0.66,0.53,0.61,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.74,1	89.2%
PHI 97, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.28,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.97,0.9,1	89.1%
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	87.9%