NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	119		Excitement	2.7 [1214]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): +11.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	1.1 [365]		LVP	Luol Deng (CLE): -7.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	15	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	16	63%	0.10	2	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	87%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	70%	0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Kendall Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	6	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	43%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	55%	0.02	7	-0.09	6	83%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.17	0.01	0.13	15	67%	0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	16	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.05	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	26%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	10	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	29.4	15.3	25.3	2.5	36.6	134.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +57.5%

LAL +2.7%

CLE -11.1%

LAL +1.6%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	15.1	121.4	111.3	105.2
season	14.0	15.2		102.9	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		106.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.6	13.9	16.5	16.0	14.5
CLE	18.4	14.9	12.8	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-5	21	14.3	15.4	-1.06	15.3	13.6	1.68
Wesley Johnson	83	83	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-3	17	14.2	16.0	-1.76	15.3	13.7	1.54
Chris Kaman	26	28	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.16	17	-6	23	13.8	14.8	-0.96	16.3	14.5	1.76
Nick Young	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-2	15	12.9	15.5	-2.51	15.2	14.9	0.26
Jordan Farmar	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	7	-3	14.7	14.1	0.58	15.0	15.2	-0.25
Ryan Kelly	85	83	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	12	-13	15.1	10.6	4.49	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Kendall Marshall	53	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	16	-21	15.0	14.0	1.03	14.0	16.2	-2.26
Robert Sacre	58	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.26	-3	14	-17	15.0	13.8	1.16	14.9	15.2	-0.37

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	59	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.65	21	-32	53	13.9	16.8	-2.98	15.2	13.3	1.91
Anderson Varejao	68	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.51	13	-24	37	15.1	14.9	0.24	14.9	13.5	1.41
Anthony Bennett	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-18	25	14.6	15.4	-0.89	14.6	14.4	0.21
Dion Waiters	48	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.39	7	-18	25	14.7	15.4	-0.72	14.7	14.3	0.47
Earl Clark	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	0	-11	13.1	15.6	-2.55	15.6	14.2	1.44
Tyler Zeller	10	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	3	-17	16.1	14.9	1.19	13.5	14.6	-1.09
Matthew Dellavedova	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-15	19	14.1	15.9	-1.80	15.7	13.4	2.28
Tristan Thompson	43	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	7	-25	16.3	14.0	2.37	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Jarrett Jack	35	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.29	-21	10	-31	15.7	14.6	1.07	15.3	14.1	1.16
Luol Deng	51	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	7	-25	16.0	14.0	2.00	13.1	16.1	-3.05
Kyrie Irving	58	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.30	-25	14	-39	15.9	13.7	2.20	13.6	15.8	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, OKC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHA 137, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%