NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	79		Excitement	4.6 [907]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +12.5%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1302]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -15.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Doron Lamb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	18	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	16	48%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Glen Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	9	35%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.00	-0.01	11	25%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	9	76%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.00	-0.09	13	36%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	56%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.08	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	24.6	15.6	26.2	2.3	26.3	120.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.7%

IND +7.6%

IND +11.8%

IND +1.2%

IND +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.3	15.1	88.8	108.9	105.2
season	15.3	15.8		100.4	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		99.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.9	14.3	15.9	15.2	15.8
IND	13.4	17.0	16.9	18.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	65	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-17	15	15.8	16.0	-0.17	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Tobias Harris	56	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-13	7	16.2	15.2	1.08	16.4	16.2	0.18
Andrew Nicholson	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-11	3	16.1	15.7	0.34	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Doron Lamb	22	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-11	3	15.7	15.9	-0.20	17.0	16.1	0.92
Arron Afflalo	62	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-15	11	16.0	15.4	0.66	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Victor Oladipo	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-14	9	15.6	16.5	-0.86	16.0	17.2	-1.18
E'Twaun Moore	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	-2	-15	15.8	15.8	-0.04	16.6	16.2	0.41
Glen Davis	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	15.7	16.1	-0.34	16.4	16.1	0.30
Maurice Harkless	37	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-2	-15	15.4	16.1	-0.73	16.3	16.4	-0.14
Kyle O'Quinn	24	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-2	-15	16.0	15.8	0.17	17.1	16.0	1.07

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	47	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.21	26	-7	33	16.2	16.5	-0.28	15.3	16.4	-1.14
CJ Watson	49	47	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.15	23	-4	27	16.8	15.8	0.99	14.7	17.1	-2.39
Ian Mahinmi	34	33	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-4	27	17.1	15.9	1.24	15.1	16.3	-1.18
David West	49	48	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	13	-7	16.4	16.3	0.10	16.1	15.5	0.68
Luis Scola	41	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	6	7	16.3	16.4	-0.10	15.5	16.1	-0.68
Lance Stephenson	69	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.26	17	2	15	16.8	14.8	2.06	16.1	14.7	1.46
Paul George	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	16	-13	15.5	17.5	-2.06	16.3	15.3	0.98
Rasual Butler	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	17.0	16.3	0.72	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Chris Copeland	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	17.0	16.3	0.72	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Orlando Johnson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.0	16.2	2.81	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Donald Sloan	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.0	16.2	2.81	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Roy Hibbert	48	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	18	-17	15.7	17.1	-1.41	16.6	14.9	1.69
George Hill	36	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	20	-21	15.4	17.0	-1.64	17.4	14.7	2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 87, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 85, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%