NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	79		Excitement	3.9 [1034]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +11.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	88		Comeback	1.2 [705]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -15.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Tornike Shengelia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	14	52%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	9	54%	0.04	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	38%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	14	75%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	15	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	15	30%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	31.2	15.5	24.3	1.4	28.6	127.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +35.5%

CHI -0.4%

NOP +0.1%

NOP +14.5%

NOP +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOP	NBA	CHI	NOP	NBA
this game	17.0	17.7	15.1	94.0	107.3	105.2
season	16.3	15.5		101.1	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		108.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.5	16.1	15.0	18.8	17.0
NOP	18.4	18.2	17.0	17.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tornike Shengelia	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	13.7	17.1	-3.48	17.2	17.7	-0.46
Tony Snell	14	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-10	11	15.9	17.3	-1.40	20.6	17.0	3.57
Carlos Boozer	40	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-6	3	16.3	17.7	-1.43	16.9	18.4	-1.50
Nazr Mohammed	10	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-5	1	19.7	16.7	3.04	19.6	17.4	2.26
Joakim Noah	66	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-6	3	17.0	17.0	0.03	17.4	18.8	-1.44
Kirk Hinrich	31	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	1	-11	17.6	16.7	0.98	19.1	17.0	2.11
D.J. Augustin	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-9	9	17.1	16.8	0.27	17.3	19.7	-2.42
Mike Dunleavy	58	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	16.7	17.8	-1.14	17.1	18.9	-1.80
Taj Gibson	52	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	17.1	16.9	0.14	18.3	16.8	1.45
Jimmy Butler	77	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	7	-23	17.3	13.6	3.77	17.4	20.6	-3.26

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	31	31	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-5	19	17.7	17.6	0.09	17.5	16.7	0.78
Tyreke Evans	35	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	1	7	19.3	16.5	2.80	17.8	16.4	1.35
Austin Rivers	27	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	0	9	19.9	16.6	3.29	17.9	16.5	1.41
Anthony Davis	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	8	-7	17.5	19.0	-1.54	16.3	21.2	-4.89
Al-Farouq Aminu	52	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	16.8	19.2	-2.34	16.7	17.5	-0.86
Anthony Morrow	20	22	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	19.3	17.1	2.20	17.9	16.7	1.14
Jeff Withey	19	21	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	3	3	17.7	17.7	0.00	18.2	16.6	1.62
Brian Roberts	55	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	9	-9	16.6	19.9	-3.29	16.5	17.9	-1.41
Eric Gordon	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	10	-11	16.9	19.5	-2.59	16.5	18.1	-1.60
Greg Stiemsma	44	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	12	-15	18.0	17.3	0.68	17.3	16.7	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHI 76, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
OKC 88, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%