NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	2.0 [1296]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +13.8%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	1.0 [1122]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (CLE): -8.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	112%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Henry Sims	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	0.00	0.12	15	64%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	25	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	17	63%	0.15	2	-0.01	12	83%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.24	0.00	0.16	17	83%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	16	54%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	85%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.5	3.4	30.4	19.5	29.6	2.8	30.0	150.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.6%

NYK +5.6%

NYK +2.0%

NYK +3.4%

NYK +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.1	89.6	121.9	105.2
season	15.2	16.0		102.8	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		107.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	15.0	14.2	14.3	14.6
NYK	16.4	15.0	16.5	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	20	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-29	27	12.9	15.0	-2.13	13.7	15.8	-2.09
Henry Sims	44	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.20	-8	-23	15	14.3	14.8	-0.45	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Alonzo Gee	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.18	-8	-23	15	13.8	14.7	-0.92	13.7	15.8	-2.08
Earl Clark	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-33	35	14.0	14.8	-0.75	16.3	15.1	1.17
Anthony Bennett	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-18	5	14.2	14.9	-0.68	15.0	15.8	-0.88
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-23	15	14.5	14.6	-0.14	16.0	15.2	0.79
Tyler Zeller	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-22	13	14.4	14.7	-0.27	16.6	14.9	1.73
Dion Waiters	51	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.26	-16	-15	-1	14.2	15.0	-0.78	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Jarrett Jack	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.41	-23	-8	-15	15.3	14.1	1.22	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Luol Deng	63	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-19	7	14.8	14.2	0.57	16.0	14.4	1.64
Tristan Thompson	43	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.39	-29	-2	-27	15.3	14.0	1.34	15.7	15.2	0.49
Kyrie Irving	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.37	-29	-2	-27	15.1	12.4	2.76	15.8	13.7	2.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.53	33	-2	35	15.6	14.9	0.73	14.9	13.5	1.44
Pablo Prigioni	44	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	16	-1	16.1	14.9	1.20	14.9	14.4	0.53
Tyson Chandler	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	4	23	15.6	15.1	0.51	15.0	13.9	1.10
J.R. Smith	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.13	16	15	1	15.8	14.4	1.46	14.8	14.1	0.62
Carmelo Anthony	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	22	-13	16.5	13.8	2.74	14.7	14.4	0.23
Jeremy Tyler	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.19	14	17	-3	15.0	15.8	-0.81	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Metta World Peace	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.52	24	7	17	14.6	16.0	-1.44	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	21	-11	14.7	16.8	-2.09	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Cole Aldrich	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	26	-21	14.4	15.7	-1.26	13.1	15.0	-1.91
Toure Murry	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	29	-27	13.4	15.8	-2.33	11.8	15.1	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 76, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CHH 96, IND 133	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NJN 92, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%