NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	9.4 [105]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): +43.8%
Brooklyn Nets	103		Comeback	10.0 [115]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -50.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.31	0.08	0.22	-0.01	11	62%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.14	-0.00	14	67%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.13	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	6	43%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,-0.1	0.12	-0.17	0.06	18	70%	0.15	4	-0.25	8	87%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Terrence Ross	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	9	45%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.43,0.6,0.62,0.44	0.44	0.27	0.19	0.02	16	85%	0.48	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	11	77%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	10	48%	0.01	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	8	37%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.5	-0.50	-0.09	-0.42	-0.01	11	37%	-0.10	3	-0.40	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	24.7	15.8	32.2	1.7	35.6	136.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.8%

BKN -1.4%

TOR +4.6%

TOR +9.4%

TOR +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.1	106.1	101.0	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	14.1	14.3	15.1	14.4
BKN	12.6	15.3	14.5	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	65	65	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.78	2	-1	3	14.7	13.8	0.81	13.5	16.1	-2.62
Patrick Patterson	42	44	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.53	5	-4	9	13.4	15.1	-1.76	16.3	13.0	3.27
Kyle Lowry	73	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	0	1	14.0	15.4	-1.41	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Terrence Ross	66	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	0	1	14.7	13.7	1.04	14.4	14.4	0.01
Steve Novak	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	-5	11	13.8	14.9	-1.09	13.0	15.8	-2.85
Greivis Vasquez	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	-6	13	14.5	14.3	0.22	15.7	13.0	2.69
John Salmons	54	58	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.49	-10	11	-21	14.9	13.8	1.03	14.6	14.1	0.48
Charles Hayes	23	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	14.4	14.4	0.06	15.4	14.1	1.36
Jonas Valanciunas	66	68	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.38	-2	3	-5	14.7	13.7	1.09	13.9	15.4	-1.50

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	61	59	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.45	18	-19	37	14.1	14.9	-0.86	15.0	13.5	1.45
Jason Terry	13	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	15.3	14.3	1.03	15.4	14.2	1.15
Andray Blatche	42	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-4	7	15.3	13.8	1.57	15.1	13.8	1.26
Andrei Kirilenko	48	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.17	1	-2	3	15.8	13.1	2.69	15.6	13.3	2.28
Paul Pierce	68	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-8	15	13.4	16.5	-3.09	14.5	14.1	0.40
Shaun Livingston	52	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	11	-23	14.9	13.9	0.96	14.9	13.9	0.94
Alan Anderson	63	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-3	5	12.9	16.8	-3.94	13.7	15.5	-1.77
Mirza Teletovic	34	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	7	-15	16.5	13.4	3.09	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Kevin Garnett	60	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	3	-7	13.8	15.3	-1.57	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Joe Johnson	69	68	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.50	-13	12	-25	14.6	14.1	0.52	13.1	17.2	-4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, OKC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.54,0.68,0.58,0	90.9%
MIN 94, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.28,0	90.3%
ORL 91, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.57,0.73,0	90.0%