NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	95		Excitement	9.9 [81]		MVP	Norris Cole (MIA): +24.4%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	2.1 [396]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIA): -28.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norris Cole	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.02	0.24	0.02	14	64%	0.40	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	21	67%	0.38	4	-0.27	12	83%	-0.07
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	7	19%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	14	26%	-0.28	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.31,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	17	53%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.05	0.03	25	64%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	11	63%	0.12	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	20%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.01	8	67%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.7	3.0	32.0	17.8	30.2	2.8	36.8	1.6	13.6	1.7	14.2	179.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -17.9%

BKN +1.0%

BKN +37.4%

BKN +26.6%

BKN +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	16.4	19.4	15.1	101.1	104.0	105.2
season	15.6	15.7		109.7	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		106.7	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	13.6	20.4	16.6	14.8	17.6	16.4
BKN	19.1	18.6	16.2	21.9	22.1	19.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	35	39	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-16	23	16.1	16.6	-0.54	18.2	20.1	-1.98
Michael Beasley	32	36	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-14	19	15.6	16.8	-1.21	18.4	19.9	-1.52
Chris Andersen	51	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-7	5	17.0	15.7	1.30	19.8	18.8	1.03
Rashard Lewis	48	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	5	-19	15.6	17.3	-1.64	18.7	20.0	-1.29
LeBron James	82	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-8	7	16.3	17.2	-0.85	19.2	20.7	-1.53
Norris Cole	84	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	16.4	16.7	-0.31	19.4	19.0	0.40
Chris Bosh	68	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.30	-15	6	-21	17.0	15.0	1.92	20.2	17.2	2.93
Ray Allen	70	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.30	-16	7	-23	16.7	15.5	1.19	20.0	17.8	2.14

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	73	71	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.20	21	-12	33	20.0	17.6	2.47	17.3	13.7	3.67
Kevin Garnett	60	55	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-6	21	20.2	18.1	2.06	17.2	15.4	1.82
Joe Johnson	77	73	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-7	23	19.6	18.4	1.26	16.6	16.0	0.61
Shaun Livingston	87	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-2	13	19.9	15.8	4.04	16.3	17.1	-0.75
Alan Anderson	38	37	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	3	3	20.9	18.4	2.43	16.2	16.6	-0.43
Reggie Evans	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	5	-1	16.6	19.8	-3.24	17.2	16.3	0.85
Tyshawn Taylor	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	18.5	19.4	-0.88	6.0	16.5	-10.54
Mason Plumlee	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	18.5	19.4	-0.88	6.0	16.5	-10.54
Jason Terry	32	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	11	-13	18.2	19.9	-1.72	17.4	16.0	1.38
Andray Blatche	24	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	17	-25	19.0	19.5	-0.47	14.8	17.0	-2.21
Mirza Teletovic	29	25	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.01	-9	18	-27	17.6	20.1	-2.45	14.0	17.3	-3.36
Andrei Kirilenko	39	36	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	18	-27	19.1	19.5	-0.46	16.0	16.7	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.63,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.86,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.92,1	87.9%
TOR 104, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.94,0.78,0.61,0.78,0.43,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.72,1	87.3%
DAL 115, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.73,1	87.3%