NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	6.1 [602]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (NYK): +21.1%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.6 [696]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -21.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.03	0.15	-0.03	12	48%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	14	63%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	17	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.13	0.05	11	50%	-0.08	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.03	0.05	17	67%	0.12	1	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	21	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	13	42%	-0.10	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.8	35.6	15.7	27.3	2.4	36.4	143.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.3%

ORL -3.1%

ORL -1.6%

NYK +5.9%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.1	109.6	104.3	105.2
season	16.0	15.3		106.4	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	14.8	15.3	15.5	15.2
ORL	17.4	15.2	14.0	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	77	78	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	15.4	14.4	1.09	15.6	14.4	1.23
J.R. Smith	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-6	17	15.0	16.2	-1.28	14.9	17.2	-2.31
Iman Shumpert	51	54	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	15.2	15.3	-0.11	15.7	15.0	0.64
Beno Udrih	48	47	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-8	21	14.6	15.9	-1.27	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Andrea Bargnani	53	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.53	-6	11	-17	15.4	15.1	0.30	15.8	14.9	0.89
Carmelo Anthony	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-9	23	15.1	15.4	-0.22	16.1	14.7	1.47
Raymond Felton	46	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	13	-21	15.9	14.6	1.27	16.4	14.4	2.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	38	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	14	-23	15.0	15.4	-0.37	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.	37	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	14	-23	15.6	15.0	0.62	14.9	15.7	-0.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	4	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-2	-1	10.7	15.6	-4.85	16.5	15.2	1.31
Jason Maxiell	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	16.9	15.2	1.69	17.2	15.0	2.19
Maurice Harkless	14	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	0	-5	16.6	15.2	1.47	16.0	15.1	0.91
Glen Davis	78	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-11	17	15.3	16.0	-0.73	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Andrew Nicholson	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.3	0.94	15.8	15.2	0.59
Arron Afflalo	84	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	15.2	16.6	-1.35	15.1	16.3	-1.16
Tobias Harris	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-6	7	15.3	16.2	-0.94	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Jameer Nelson	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	15.7	13.6	2.08	15.3	14.8	0.46
Victor Oladipo	32	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.21	-23	18	-41	15.1	15.5	-0.41	14.6	15.6	-0.94
Nikola Vucevic	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-5	5	15.3	15.6	-0.32	15.2	15.3	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.21,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 112, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.02,0	93.2%
CHA 104, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.04,0,0,0	92.8%
OKC 121, MEM 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.09,0	92.6%