NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	4.8 [878]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +3.4%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	1.5 [1211]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	46%	-0.00	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	18	42%	-0.02	4	-0.06	12	75%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	7	12%	-0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	11	48%	-0.04	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	17	29%	-0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	25%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	18	47%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	0.09	15	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	6	21%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	33.4	15.4	28.3	1.8	33.3	140.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.2%

LAL -5.9%

GSW +8.4%

GSW +5.6%

GSW +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.3	14.3	15.1	79.8	97.1	105.2
season	14.0	14.2		102.9	105.9
opponent	15.3	14.8		102.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	12.5	12.7	12.5	13.3
GSW	12.9	14.7	13.0	16.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	11.6	13.4	-1.87	15.1	14.2	0.89
Kendall Marshall	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-18	17	11.3	13.5	-2.18	16.8	14.0	2.87
Nick Young	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.22	-13	-6	-7	13.1	13.5	-0.42	14.4	14.1	0.38
Robert Sacre	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-8	-3	12.9	13.5	-0.67	15.4	13.6	1.85
Jordan Hill	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-13	7	14.4	12.4	1.91	13.6	14.8	-1.13
Shawne Williams	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-5	-9	12.8	13.7	-0.85	15.0	13.7	1.27
Wesley Johnson	81	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	13.6	11.9	1.73	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Chris Kaman	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-11	3	13.5	12.9	0.67	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Xavier Henry	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	0	-19	13.6	12.2	1.47	14.0	15.2	-1.25
Jodie Meeks	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-6	-7	12.8	14.6	-1.84	14.0	15.1	-1.16

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-3	25	13.7	15.6	-1.91	13.7	12.2	1.59
Stephen Curry	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.27	26	-7	33	13.5	16.2	-2.77	13.4	12.9	0.47
Klay Thompson	71	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	0	19	13.9	15.1	-1.13	13.3	13.2	0.15
Andrew Bogut	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	10	-1	14.7	13.8	0.96	13.6	12.8	0.81
Andre Iguodala	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	11	-3	13.6	15.0	-1.38	13.3	13.2	0.18
Harrison Barnes	56	56	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.19	14	5	9	14.5	14.1	0.36	12.8	13.7	-0.91
Draymond Green	48	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	17	-15	14.8	13.9	0.95	12.8	13.6	-0.73
Kent Bazemore	23	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	20	-21	16.1	13.8	2.29	13.0	13.3	-0.27
Marreese Speights	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.16	8	11	-3	14.1	14.4	-0.23	13.3	13.2	0.10
Toney Douglas	33	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	26	-33	15.8	13.6	2.18	12.9	13.4	-0.47
Hilton Armstrong	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	18.0	14.1	3.93	10.0	13.5	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 74, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
BKN 73, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.1%