NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	100		Excitement	5.8 [668]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (BOS): +18.7%
Boston Celtics	108		Comeback	1.1 [1127]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -5.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	12	66%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brandon Knight	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	15	47%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	52%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.10	0.04	14	71%	0.25	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	12	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	9	78%	0.17	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	15	37%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	30.2	15.6	23.5	2.3	33.7	130.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.2%

MIL -3.7%

BOS +15.7%

MIL -8.5%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.1	109.9	118.7	105.2
season	15.7	15.4		101.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.1		106.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.2	14.6	17.3	13.0	15.4
BOS	17.0	15.4	18.7	14.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Knight	57	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-10	12	14.9	16.1	-1.27	17.0	14.9	2.10
Khris Middleton	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-11	14	14.8	16.5	-1.76	16.7	15.4	1.35
O.J. Mayo	60	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-11	14	14.6	16.7	-2.06	16.9	15.2	1.69
Ekpe Udoh	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	15.2	15.6	-0.44	16.6	15.9	0.69
Zaza Pachulia	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	15.8	15.1	0.73	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Ersan Ilyasova	41	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-9	10	15.7	15.1	0.56	16.2	16.4	-0.13
John Henson	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	2	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.84	16.6	15.8	0.77
Gary Neal	31	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	3	-14	16.7	14.6	2.06	15.2	16.9	-1.69
Giannis Antetokounmpo	30	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	3	-14	16.5	14.8	1.76	15.4	16.7	-1.35
Luke Ridnour	34	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	2	-12	16.1	14.9	1.27	14.9	17.0	-2.10

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	37	38	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-4	16	16.0	16.5	-0.55	15.8	15.0	0.75
Avery Bradley	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	0	8	16.7	15.7	0.95	15.9	14.4	1.55
Courtney Lee	31	30	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	2	4	15.4	16.8	-1.43	15.4	15.3	0.12
Jared Sullinger	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	1	6	16.7	15.3	1.35	15.4	15.2	0.26
Jordan Crawford	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	8	-8	16.7	14.7	1.97	15.5	14.9	0.51
Jeff Green	61	60	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	6	-4	16.9	15.2	1.69	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Brandon Bass	65	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	9	-10	16.5	15.8	0.74	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Gerald Wallace	41	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	15.8	16.7	-0.98	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Phil Pressey	12	12	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	2	4	13.6	16.7	-3.13	13.7	15.6	-1.94
Vitor Faverani	14	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	10	-12	14.4	16.6	-2.21	14.4	15.5	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.86,0.97,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
PHI 107, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.85,1	94.2%
IND 97, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	93.8%