inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 87 Excitement2.7 [1217] MVPKlay Thompson (GSW): +15.7%
Golden State Warriors 98 Comeback1.0 [1246] LVPIsaiah Thomas (SAC): -13.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.110.000.08775%0.0400.006100%0.01
Ben McLemore0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.011756%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hamady Ndiaye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01150%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01430%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Marcus Thornton-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00939%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03842%0.012-0.03367%-0.01
Greivis Vasquez-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.05714%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00867%0.015-0.052100%-0.00
John Salmons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.05617%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.010.011041%-0.083-0.05989%-0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.010.021771%0.181-0.024100%0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.011381%0.117-0.071100%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.011160%0.053-0.033100%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.02560%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03550%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nemanja Nedovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01460%0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02743%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01643%0.011-0.0320%-0.03
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.000.04642%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.530.515.426.51.829.0126.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +44.7%
SAC -1.6%
GSW +1.8%
GSW +3.0%
GSW +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACGSWNBASACGSWNBA
this game15.714.015.190.6100.0105.2
season15.414.2104.5105.9
opponent15.314.7102.0107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC17.315.214.516.015.7
GSW13.514.813.214.614.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmer Fredette670.00-0.500.50-0.238-192711.816.0-4.1315.313.91.38
Hamady Ndiaye670.00-0.500.50-0.238-192711.816.0-4.1315.313.91.38
Luc Mbah a Moute1113-0.02-0.480.46-0.289-202912.916.1-3.1615.813.72.04
Travis Outlaw5456-0.11-0.390.29-0.5214-253914.217.7-3.5214.813.01.83
Ben McLemore6062-0.12-0.380.25-0.5615-264114.517.7-3.2214.612.91.71
Jason Thompson4445-0.13-0.370.23-0.254-151914.616.6-2.0214.413.60.82
DeMarcus Cousins3737-0.15-0.350.200.23-132-1516.915.01.8813.414.4-0.96
Greivis Vasquez4748-0.21-0.290.080.20-143-1717.613.93.6113.414.6-1.18
Charles Hayes3434-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.10-6-5-113.916.7-2.7414.213.90.36
Isaiah Thomas6161-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-7315.316.5-1.2214.413.31.13
John Salmons3938-0.38-0.12-0.250.39-2615-4117.514.53.0812.914.7-1.76
Marcus Thornton3940-0.39-0.11-0.290.34-2514-3917.914.23.6412.914.7-1.77
Patrick Patterson4242-0.41-0.09-0.320.32-2514-3917.714.23.5213.014.8-1.83

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala80780.470.040.43-0.0919-82713.615.7-2.1116.412.73.74
Klay Thompson80800.450.050.40-0.1119-82714.014.1-0.1415.815.40.33
David Lee63620.450.050.40-0.2022-113313.714.6-0.9816.314.61.64
Stephen Curry65640.360.140.22-0.1718-72513.914.2-0.3216.115.01.06
Draymond Green48490.270.230.030.0674314.313.70.5716.015.40.55
Andrew Bogut42400.230.27-0.05-0.07101913.214.6-1.3816.315.30.97
Toney Douglas34330.140.36-0.230.28-516-2114.114.00.0914.416.4-2.05
Kent Bazemore29280.080.42-0.330.32-819-2714.813.71.1814.416.2-1.81
Marreese Speights34330.060.44-0.370.39-1122-3315.113.41.6215.016.1-1.08
Ognjen Kuzmic760.000.50-0.500.23-819-2715.313.91.3811.816.0-4.13
Nemanja Nedovic870.000.50-0.500.23-819-2715.213.91.3611.916.0-4.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 82, WAS 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
CHI 77, IND 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
TOR 91, CLE 1040.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%