NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	8.2 [224]		MVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): +25.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	85		Comeback	4.2 [642]		LVP	Steve Blake (LAL): -19.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.25	-0.02	0.25	-0.02	11	52%	0.32	3	-0.07	5	60%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.13	0.02	18	67%	0.29	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	14	65%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Bonner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	15	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Aron Baynes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.14	0.01	9	67%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	55%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	17	53%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.05
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	6	17%	-0.16	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.07
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	0.03	8	25%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	12	25%	-0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.8	34.5	16.8	24.0	2.8	42.0	147.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.9%

SAS +3.3%

SAS +6.7%

SAS +15.0%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.1	94.8	89.5	105.2
season	15.0	14.0		109.8	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.0		108.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.7	14.6	16.4	14.0	15.7
LAL	12.3	14.2	14.2	17.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	66	67	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-10	26	14.8	17.5	-2.62	14.6	14.1	0.48
Tony Parker	73	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-8	22	15.0	17.9	-2.95	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Kawhi Leonard	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	15.6	15.8	-0.23	14.5	14.4	0.12
Manu Ginobili	56	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	15.6	15.8	-0.23	14.5	14.4	0.10
Boris Diaw	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.40	-4	10	-14	14.9	16.4	-1.46	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Jeff Ayres	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-5	16	14.4	16.1	-1.71	15.7	14.0	1.66
Cory Joseph	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	2.5	15.9	-13.45	4.5	14.7	-10.20
Danny Green	40	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	15.8	15.6	0.23	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Matt Bonner	31	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	18.2	14.5	3.73	14.6	14.4	0.20
Marco Belinelli	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	11	-16	15.8	15.6	0.23	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Patty Mills	23	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	14	-22	17.9	15.0	2.95	14.8	14.4	0.43
Aron Baynes	22	21	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.03	-11	17	-28	18.8	14.7	4.09	13.5	14.8	-1.23

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	41	40	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-11	16	15.3	13.9	1.47	16.6	15.0	1.56
Jordan Farmar	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-8	10	15.0	14.2	0.79	18.2	14.6	3.59
Chris Kaman	22	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	13.3	14.8	-1.58	18.6	14.7	3.87
Shawne Williams	46	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-6	6	13.3	15.6	-2.25	14.8	16.4	-1.61
Nick Young	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-1	-4	13.6	15.0	-1.41	15.8	15.6	0.16
Steve Nash	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.7	15.4	-1.66	15.1	16.3	-1.18
Jordan Hill	20	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-4	2	19.2	13.2	5.97	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Wesley Johnson	49	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	0	-6	15.6	13.3	2.25	16.4	14.8	1.61
Jodie Meeks	53	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-1	-4	14.8	14.1	0.61	15.4	16.0	-0.52
Pau Gasol	62	63	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	3	-12	13.8	15.8	-2.09	14.8	17.3	-2.49
Steve Blake	66	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	2	-10	14.2	15.0	-0.79	14.6	18.2	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.33,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 109, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.57,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.05,0	92.3%
DEN 108, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.09,0	92.1%
MIA 98, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.4,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.15,0	91.6%