NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	8.2 [222]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +52.8%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	1.4 [897]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): -15.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.4,0.53,0.53	0.17	0.36	-0.00	16	75%	0.58	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	20	56%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	69%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.02	8	85%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.15
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.17	-0.00	3	83%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.06	-0.02	20	52%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.02	24	61%	0.18	3	-0.09	11	73%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	17	42%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.3	28.2	16.3	29.6	2.5	39.3	141.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +62.8%

SAC -14.0%

LAC +4.9%

SAC -5.8%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	15.4	114.3	111.3	104.1
season	15.6	15.0		109.0	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.8	15.3	16.3	14.1	14.6
SAC	15.5	16.7	13.7	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	59	61	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-8	20	14.8	14.3	0.48	15.7	13.7	2.07
Ryan Hollins	41	40	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-5	14	12.2	16.3	-4.09	15.2	14.8	0.48
Chris Paul	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	5	-6	14.9	13.6	1.35	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Matt Barnes	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	-1	6	12.6	16.8	-4.17	15.6	14.2	1.43
Blake Griffin	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	5	-6	15.3	13.4	1.87	14.6	15.6	-1.07
Lamar Odom	37	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-2	8	13.0	15.5	-2.48	15.8	14.5	1.37
Eric Bledsoe	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	-1	6	13.6	14.9	-1.35	16.8	14.3	2.51
Caron Butler	44	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	5	-6	16.5	13.0	3.58	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Chauncey Billups	41	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	12	-20	14.7	14.5	0.15	13.0	16.3	-3.34
DeAndre Jordan	56	55	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	10	-16	16.6	11.9	4.67	15.2	14.7	0.49

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	58	58	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-10	16	15.1	14.8	0.21	16.2	12.3	3.88
Jason Thompson	51	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-5	6	14.6	15.4	-0.80	15.0	14.0	0.99
Jimmer Fredette	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	0	-4	16.2	14.8	1.37	16.4	14.3	2.09
Cole Aldrich	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	2	-8	17.0	14.8	2.21	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Marcus Thornton	76	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.5	16.5	-1.98	14.4	15.0	-0.61
DeMarcus Cousins	83	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	14.7	16.3	-1.54	14.7	13.8	0.92
Patrick Patterson	52	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	1	-6	15.4	14.5	0.90	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Isaiah Thomas	88	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	2	-8	15.0	14.7	0.33	14.2	18.4	-4.26
Travis Outlaw	56	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	5	-14	15.1	14.7	0.41	13.3	16.3	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.31,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.09,0	92.5%
BOS 104, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.18,0	92.5%
DAL 113, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.16,0	91.4%