NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	4.5 [922]		MVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): +19.6%
New Orleans Hornets	112		Comeback	1.5 [916]		LVP	Robin Lopez (NOH): -9.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	-0.01	0.09	20	67%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	85%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	10	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Tyler Zeller	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	9	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.06	-0.01	14	78%	0.25	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	-0.01	0.10	14	82%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	52%	0.08	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.00	0.11	7	88%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Lance Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	28.4	16.4	26.7	1.8	26.5	127.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +24.2%

NOH +11.0%

NOH +11.8%

NOH +3.4%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.4	95.8	117.9	104.1
season	15.5	16.3		102.5	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		108.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	14.5	14.0	15.7	14.3
NOH	15.9	15.5	12.1	21.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-17	14	11.5	14.4	-2.89	19.5	15.8	3.75
Tristan Thompson	61	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-21	22	13.8	15.2	-1.41	15.2	16.9	-1.76
Alonzo Gee	49	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-18	16	13.6	15.1	-1.60	15.4	16.3	-0.96
Tyler Zeller	50	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-14	8	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Wayne Ellington	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-14	8	13.8	15.6	-1.79	15.4	16.9	-1.56
Kyrie Irving	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-16	12	14.3	14.4	-0.11	16.2	15.2	0.99
Omri Casspi	16	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-8	-4	16.1	14.0	2.07	17.9	15.5	2.38
CJ Miles	35	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-11	2	14.5	14.2	0.33	16.4	15.5	0.94
Shaun Livingston	38	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-7	-6	14.6	14.2	0.36	15.0	16.3	-1.34
Daniel Gibson	32	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.15	-17	-3	-14	15.3	13.8	1.47	17.1	15.2	1.85
Marreese Speights	42	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-9	-2	14.4	14.3	0.04	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Luke Walton	33	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	-2	-16	15.5	13.7	1.71	16.8	15.3	1.47

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	7	6	15.2	17.8	-2.62	14.5	13.9	0.56
Ryan Anderson	57	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	4	12	17.5	13.3	4.28	14.8	13.5	1.29
Anthony Davis	76	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	12	-4	15.1	18.8	-3.70	14.2	14.9	-0.78
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	11	-2	13.4	17.9	-4.47	13.9	14.7	-0.86
Brian Roberts	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	8	4	18.2	13.7	4.46	14.5	14.1	0.40
Darius Miller	42	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	7	6	17.3	14.7	2.56	15.4	13.5	1.97
Lou Amundson	18	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	8	4	18.9	15.1	3.84	14.9	14.2	0.78
Eric Gordon	59	59	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	15	-10	15.0	17.2	-2.15	13.7	15.3	-1.52
Robin Lopez	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	16	-12	13.2	17.5	-4.33	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Terrel Harris	24	25	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	12	-4	17.3	15.3	1.95	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Lance Thomas	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	16.0	15.8	0.17	0.0	14.3	-14.33
Xavier Henry	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	16.0	15.8	0.17	0.0	14.3	-14.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.64,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
ORL 75, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIL 100, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,1,1,1	94.3%