NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	108		Excitement	2.1 [1291]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +20.6%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	1.2 [1149]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -6.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.24	0.00	0.03	20	80%	0.24	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	6	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	11	65%	0.05	6	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	15	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	46%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	11	53%	-0.03	5	-0.04	10	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	29.9	14.8	24.8	1.7	26.5	127.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +45.5%

NOH -0.2%

NOH -5.6%

MIA +7.4%

MIA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NOH	NBA	MIA	NOH	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.4	122.7	101.1	104.1
season	15.7	16.3		110.2	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.9		108.1	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.5	14.7	14.7	19.9	16.1
NOH	17.2	19.6	13.5	16.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	39	40	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-1	21	17.1	15.4	1.68	17.9	15.5	2.40
LeBron James	61	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	0	19	14.9	18.9	-3.95	16.2	17.6	-1.43
Norris Cole	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	9	1	17.7	14.4	3.22	18.0	15.1	2.93
Shane Battier	49	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.02	12	7	5	17.6	14.2	3.38	18.0	15.0	3.02
Udonis Haslem	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	3	13	14.8	17.5	-2.73	15.4	17.8	-2.36
Chris Andersen	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	15	-11	17.9	15.3	2.61	17.3	16.3	1.04
Dwyane Wade	62	63	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	8	3	15.9	16.7	-0.88	16.3	17.3	-0.93
Chris Bosh	41	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	7	5	13.6	18.3	-4.69	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Mike Miller	44	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	16	-13	14.8	17.4	-2.55	15.5	17.7	-2.20
Rashard Lewis	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.3	15.9	3.46	14.0	16.8	-2.77
Juwan Howard	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.3	15.9	3.46	14.0	16.8	-2.77
James Jones	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.3	15.9	3.46	14.0	16.8	-2.77
Joel Anthony	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	19.3	15.9	3.46	14.0	16.8	-2.77

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrel Harris	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-19	19	16.0	16.6	-0.64	15.2	16.2	-0.90
Lance Thomas	17	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-18	17	17.3	16.5	0.84	19.2	15.3	3.91
Robin Lopez	39	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-14	9	15.7	17.3	-1.61	13.2	18.3	-5.11
Lou Amundson	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.04	-3	-16	13	18.5	16.0	2.45	17.5	15.7	1.79
Roger Mason Jr.	26	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-8	-3	16.1	16.8	-0.76	13.9	17.0	-3.08
Eric Gordon	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-9	-1	16.2	17.4	-1.19	15.2	17.8	-2.61
Anthony Davis	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-3	-13	15.8	17.8	-2.02	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-10	1	15.7	19.0	-3.39	15.5	17.8	-2.31
Darius Miller	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	0	-19	18.4	15.5	2.85	18.1	14.9	3.27
Ryan Anderson	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-12	5	17.3	15.6	1.64	17.6	13.8	3.84
Brian Roberts	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-5	-9	17.1	14.1	2.94	16.5	13.8	2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
NOP 115, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAC 122, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%