NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	2.6 [1248]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +10.4%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	1.3 [735]		LVP	Steve Blake (LAL): -7.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	19	52%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.12	27	51%	0.02	0	0.00	16	75%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	5	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	14	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	-0.00	4	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	-0.00	18	61%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.00	-0.09	24	45%	0.07	2	-0.01	7	57%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	15	66%	0.08	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.5	32.8	14.8	30.4	1.7	34.3	137.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +50.7%

LAL -4.4%

GSW +1.4%

LAL -0.2%

GSW +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.4	103.0	106.9	104.1
season	14.9	14.6		106.0	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.2	12.9	14.4	12.4	14.3
GSW	13.1	13.8	15.0	14.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	14.9	14.2	0.75	15.5	13.8	1.72
Jodie Meeks	51	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-15	24	13.9	14.8	-0.83	14.2	14.1	0.09
Pau Gasol	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	8	-22	15.2	13.6	1.65	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Antawn Jamison	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	5	-16	15.3	14.0	1.30	14.4	14.1	0.33
Dwight Howard	75	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-11	16	14.5	14.0	0.47	14.5	13.0	1.45
Metta World Peace	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	9	-24	14.9	13.9	1.00	13.7	14.4	-0.69
Steve Nash	77	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-8	10	14.2	14.7	-0.45	14.4	13.5	0.82
Kobe Bryant	88	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-5	4	14.2	15.7	-1.50	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Steve Blake	72	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	1	-8	13.4	16.8	-3.38	14.2	14.1	0.03

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	87	85	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	13.9	15.7	-1.84	14.7	12.2	2.53
Stephen Curry	91	90	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	3	0	14.3	13.1	1.21	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Jarrett Jack	74	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	4	-2	14.5	13.3	1.17	13.3	17.1	-3.88
Harrison Barnes	65	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-4	14	13.1	16.0	-2.92	14.9	13.6	1.29
David Lee	81	79	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.38	-4	10	-14	14.4	13.4	0.99	13.7	16.8	-3.05
Carl Landry	31	31	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.18	15	-9	24	13.8	14.3	-0.52	15.1	14.0	1.13
Festus Ezeli	21	20	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	0	6	14.2	14.2	0.03	16.4	13.8	2.56
Andrew Bogut	62	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	11	-16	14.5	13.6	0.97	14.5	14.1	0.49
Kent Bazemore	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	9	-12	2.0	14.3	-12.29	6.5	14.5	-8.01
Draymond Green	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	0.0	14.2	-14.17	8.0	14.4	-6.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
PHI 93, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
MIA 83, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%