inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement7.9 [256] MVPRay Allen (MIA): +24.3%
Philadelphia 76ers 94 Comeback2.2 [690] LVPLeBron James (MIA): -23.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.090.150.00586%0.271-0.024100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.130.020.110.011458%0.243-0.11887%0.02
Chris Bosh0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.040.12-0.021145%0.132-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00283%0.0500.00250%-0.02
Chris Andersen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01956%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Shane Battier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.02-0.00650%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00937%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Norris Cole-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
LeBron James-0.240,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.240.01-0.24-0.001954%-0.134-0.111283%0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.130.130.050.06-0.021254%0.1300.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.060.060.07-0.010.002057%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.17,00.000.02-0.03-0.011855%0.213-0.2120%-0.03
Arnett Moultrie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Jenkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.00450%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Evan Turner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.02-0.001354%0.142-0.16250%-0.01
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.00450%-0.001-0.04250%-0.01
Spencer Hawes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01550%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.827.815.825.12.532.5128.6
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI -18.5%
MIA +27.7%
MIA +14.7%
MIA +20.9%
MIA +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game17.115.415.4110.1106.8104.1
season15.715.5110.2100.5
opponent15.715.9104.2102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.115.919.116.517.1
PHI14.916.115.115.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers58590.88-0.381.260.5013-92217.117.2-0.1415.614.90.75
Chris Bosh58580.52-0.020.540.298-41217.516.41.1515.116.0-0.96
LeBron James67670.500.000.500.297-31017.615.91.6915.216.0-0.79
Dwyane Wade75730.400.100.290.3713-217.117.4-0.2615.216.5-1.29
Ray Allen47480.260.240.030.29-15-618.016.11.8815.715.00.78
Shane Battier48470.080.42-0.34-0.127-31016.018.4-2.4216.014.71.29
Norris Cole2725-0.000.50-0.510.11-48-1215.517.8-2.3215.015.5-0.50
Chris Andersen3130-0.020.52-0.540.10-48-1216.417.5-1.1516.015.10.96
Udonis Haslem3433-0.110.61-0.730.09-711-1818.116.51.5914.715.8-1.07

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Young11110.04-0.540.58-0.022-6815.115.4-0.3517.017.2-0.15
Royal Ivey1415-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-5618.114.93.1816.717.2-0.48
Arnett Moultrie1110-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-1-214.915.5-0.5614.817.4-2.63
Charles Jenkins2525-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-3215.015.5-0.5017.716.90.81
Lavoy Allen2626-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-3215.815.20.5819.516.13.40
Spencer Hawes4245-0.20-0.300.09-0.17-1-3215.815.00.7416.318.0-1.76
Dorell Wright4142-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.374-81214.616.1-1.4816.717.5-0.80
Damien Wilkins5757-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.16-73-1015.315.6-0.3816.318.6-2.28
Thaddeus Young6767-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.30-40-415.515.20.2717.615.81.81
Jrue Holiday7879-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.38-3-1-215.415.10.3417.117.5-0.41
Evan Turner6868-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.29-73-1015.216.1-0.9117.615.71.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.34,0.53,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 93, DAL 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.22,0.15,091.1%
DEN 106, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.55,0.32,0.42,090.8%
MEM 91, OKC 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.31,089.9%