inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Excitement6.7 [445] MVPCarl Landry (GSW): +20.8%
Golden State Warriors 93 Comeback2.2 [342] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -17.9%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Jennings0.180,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.180.160.050.031682%0.305-0.12683%0.01
JJ Redick0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.10-0.001158%0.202-0.06475%-0.02
Mike Dunleavy0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.07-0.00853%0.1200.001100%0.01
Monta Ellis0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.001959%0.143-0.07667%-0.01
Ekpe Udoh0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00283%0.0700.00250%-0.02
Larry Sanders-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0-0.020.030.01743%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Ish Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Henson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.00939%-0.042-0.0500%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.110.09-0.011075%0.252-0.044100%0.02
Klay Thompson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.050.020.050.011750%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00656%0.061-0.03650%-0.03
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01764%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Malcolm Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.02425%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00330%-0.0500.00425%-0.05
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.080.001142%-0.081-0.02475%0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.01540%-0.023-0.1000%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.090.011844%-0.034-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.831.315.524.81.734.5135.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +51.0%
MIL +1.6%
GSW -14.2%
MIL +9.5%
MIL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILGSWNBAMILGSWNBA
this game15.314.415.4105.196.9104.1
season14.714.6101.6104.6
opponent15.315.3103.7103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.814.015.916.415.3
GSW15.813.715.412.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luc Mbah a Moute67650.53-0.030.560.2982615.115.7-0.5913.815.6-1.73
JJ Redick62640.51-0.010.520.0117-72415.115.6-0.4914.713.71.03
Monta Ellis73720.490.010.470.191001015.514.60.9614.414.40.04
Brandon Jennings86860.470.030.440.1511-11215.513.52.0214.711.53.24
Larry Sanders57560.360.140.220.2155015.714.71.0214.314.6-0.33
Ekpe Udoh45430.180.32-0.13-0.0273414.815.7-0.8414.714.20.57
John Henson330.050.45-0.39-0.0128-617.315.22.1211.714.5-2.83
Mike Dunleavy6460-0.030.53-0.560.18-717-2415.415.10.2914.314.5-0.19
Samuel Dalembert2626-0.030.53-0.56-0.03010-1014.215.7-1.4215.014.20.76
Ish Smith75-0.030.53-0.570.05-313-1614.615.3-0.769.814.7-4.86

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malcolm Thomas770.17-0.670.84-0.037-172414.614.40.1813.315.4-2.14
Harrison Barnes4345-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-101014.114.6-0.5315.115.5-0.39
Carl Landry5758-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-141814.813.90.9016.313.82.49
Richard Jefferson2626-0.11-0.390.27-0.06-2-8614.514.40.1312.316.3-4.04
Kent Bazemore99-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-3-416.214.22.0016.615.11.41
Andrew Bogut5759-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-8614.714.00.7315.814.51.31
Festus Ezeli2220-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-3-416.313.92.4214.415.5-1.04
Draymond Green5050-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-111-1213.914.9-0.9715.415.20.17
Jarrett Jack5354-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.17-100-1014.614.10.5315.215.3-0.12
Klay Thompson7881-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.19-100-1013.916.5-2.5815.315.00.33
Stephen Curry7881-0.500.00-0.50-0.15-122-1413.916.5-2.5815.414.70.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.06,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 107, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.02,0,092.6%
SAS 96, CHI 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.05,0.01,0,092.3%
TOR 94, NOP 870.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.67,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.33,0.44,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.33,0.15,0.03,0,092.2%