NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	7.7 [307]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +27.0%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.1 [1002]		LVP	Marquis Teague (CHI): -17.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	11	71%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	48%	0.13	1	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	17	59%	0.19	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Teague	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	5	17%	-0.11	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.15	0.02	6	95%	0.37	3	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.11	0.01	18	69%	0.31	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.06
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	14	53%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	14	36%	-0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	32.1	16.5	25.3	2.7	39.9	144.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.1%

IND +9.1%

IND +0.2%

IND +16.1%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.4	100.0	107.8	104.1
season	16.6	16.1		101.7	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.0	17.4	15.0	16.5	16.5
IND	13.5	15.4	16.3	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	5	6	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-8	11	18.2	16.4	1.84	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-4	3	17.1	16.3	0.89	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Nazr Mohammed	26	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-8	11	18.8	15.5	3.22	15.9	14.9	1.04
Marquis Teague	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-12	19	16.7	16.2	0.45	15.5	14.8	0.73
Carlos Boozer	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	4	-13	17.3	16.1	1.20	15.9	14.8	1.06
Nate Robinson	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	5	-15	16.6	16.3	0.28	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Jimmy Butler	62	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	16.1	17.3	-1.20	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Joakim Noah	66	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	3	-11	15.5	18.8	-3.22	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Luol Deng	73	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	1	-7	16.0	18.1	-2.01	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Marco Belinelli	87	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	16.4	18.2	-1.84	15.2	14.5	0.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	66	66	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-6	17	14.4	17.2	-2.83	16.6	16.0	0.64
George Hill	68	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-8	21	14.9	16.1	-1.21	16.5	16.4	0.03
Roy Hibbert	67	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-6	17	15.1	15.5	-0.40	16.8	15.6	1.23
Paul George	85	86	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-4	13	14.9	20.0	-5.11	16.3	18.8	-2.54
David West	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	5	-5	15.2	15.0	0.30	16.6	16.0	0.62
Tyler Hansbrough	23	26	0.12	0.39	-0.27	-0.09	7	-2	9	14.4	15.4	-1.06	15.2	17.0	-1.76
Danny Granger	13	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	18.2	14.7	3.57	17.1	16.3	0.81
Orlando Johnson	6	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	10	-15	21.0	14.8	6.24	18.8	16.3	2.48
Sam Young	10	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	9	-13	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.2	16.6	-1.45
Ian Mahinmi	22	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	13	-21	16.1	14.9	1.21	16.4	16.5	-0.03
D.J. Augustin	22	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	13	-21	16.1	14.9	1.21	16.2	16.5	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 92, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	93.7%
DAL 107, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.77,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.92,1	93.5%
BOS 92, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.93,1	93.2%