NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	10.5 [50]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): +17.8%
Phoenix Suns	84		Comeback	5.7 [234]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -70.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	-0.04	0.18	-0.01	8	32%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.14	3	-0.16	10	30%	-0.09
Greg Stiemsma	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	38%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	17	47%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.32	-0.07	-0.26	-0.00	9	28%	-0.30	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.70	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.39,-0.47,-0.57,-0.7,-0.7,-0.7	-0.24	-0.47	-0.01	12	19%	-0.44	6	-0.26	2	50%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.17	-0.00	11	50%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.05
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	5	40%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	12	58%	0.07	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	16	44%	-0.12	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	6	15%	-0.18	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.12	0.00	14	31%	-0.05	3	-0.22	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	31.2	14.7	26.4	2.3	34.3	1.8	23.3	160.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +89.5%

MIN -24.6%

PHX +6.6%

MIN -21.1%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.4	80.6	83.2	104.1
season	15.6	15.2		101.3	99.7
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.5	15.4	15.1	15.0	13.8	15.1
PHX	15.8	14.6	17.6	17.7	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	42	40	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.22	-1	0	-1	14.8	15.3	-0.47	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Alexey Shved	68	67	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-7	13	14.5	16.3	-1.77	16.2	15.9	0.37
Ricky Rubio	72	71	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.28	10	-11	21	15.3	14.6	0.63	17.1	13.7	3.41
Andrei Kirilenko	20	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	15.5	15.0	0.51	15.3	16.3	-0.93
Nikola Pekovic	80	76	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.44	11	-12	23	14.5	17.3	-2.80	16.2	15.7	0.56
Mickael Gelabale	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	6	-13	14.7	15.4	-0.71	16.7	15.7	0.94
Luke Ridnour	57	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-4	7	15.2	15.0	0.16	16.2	16.0	0.14
Derrick Williams	77	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-4	7	15.4	14.1	1.30	16.2	15.8	0.34
Greg Stiemsma	23	25	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	11	-23	17.3	14.5	2.80	15.7	16.2	-0.56
Jose Juan Barea	54	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.45	-6	5	-11	15.1	15.1	0.05	15.6	16.6	-0.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	56	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.73	-6	7	-13	16.2	16.0	0.14	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Wesley Johnson	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	1	-1	15.3	17.7	-2.37	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Luis Scola	38	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-7	15	16.0	16.2	-0.20	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Kendall Marshall	25	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-10	21	14.2	16.7	-2.52	15.7	14.9	0.84
Jermaine O'Neal	48	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-8	17	16.4	15.8	0.57	15.6	14.6	0.97
Michael Beasley	25	24	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-8	17	16.0	16.1	-0.18	16.7	14.6	2.11
Marcus Morris	10	9	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	2	-3	11.0	16.7	-5.66	11.7	15.4	-3.75
Marcin Gortat	53	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.42	-8	9	-17	15.8	16.4	-0.57	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Goran Dragic	76	78	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.47	-10	11	-21	16.7	14.2	2.52	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Markieff Morris	59	59	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	3	-5	16.7	15.2	1.51	15.7	14.3	1.42
Jared Dudley	46	47	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.10	-5	6	-11	17.6	14.8	2.81	14.8	15.4	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.45,0.64,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 104, CHH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	89.8%
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	88.8%
DAL 115, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.84,0.84,1	88.5%