NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	3.7 [1088]		MVP	David West (IND): +24.5%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.3 [564]		LVP	Ian Mahinmi (IND): -4.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	17	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.03
Chris Andersen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.24	0.25	0.04	0.04	15	83%	0.24	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	58%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.0	35.2	17.5	29.5	2.7	31.3	146.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.8%

MIA -3.3%

IND +14.4%

MIA -6.0%

IND +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	18.1	15.4	104.7	121.4	104.1
season	15.7	16.1		110.2	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.0	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.7	15.7	16.8	14.8	16.0
IND	18.4	17.0	17.5	19.5	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	24	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-13	13	13.7	16.9	-3.23	17.4	18.4	-1.01
Norris Cole	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-10	7	14.0	16.7	-2.74	16.6	18.6	-1.98
Rashard Lewis	4	4	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-5	-3	16.5	16.0	0.54	12.2	18.4	-6.15
Ray Allen	51	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-13	13	13.9	19.1	-5.17	18.3	17.9	0.43
Shane Battier	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-10	7	15.3	16.9	-1.62	18.1	18.1	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	17.9	14.3	3.61	17.9	18.3	-0.34
Dwyane Wade	70	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-7	1	16.5	13.7	2.82	18.5	15.7	2.86
Mario Chalmers	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	0	-13	19.1	13.9	5.17	17.9	18.3	-0.43
LeBron James	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	16.1	15.3	0.82	18.4	16.2	2.26
Chris Bosh	56	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	1	-15	16.2	15.6	0.66	18.5	17.2	1.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	69	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	2	9	18.7	15.6	3.05	16.5	14.4	2.09
David West	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	4	5	18.2	17.8	0.40	15.8	16.5	-0.63
Paul George	72	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	3	7	18.3	16.8	1.49	16.1	15.3	0.76
George Hill	61	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	7	-1	18.7	16.5	2.24	16.1	15.6	0.55
Roy Hibbert	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	3	7	18.3	17.8	0.58	16.7	14.9	1.75
Ian Mahinmi	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	10	-7	17.8	18.3	-0.58	14.9	16.7	-1.75
D.J. Augustin	23	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	6	1	16.5	18.7	-2.24	15.6	16.1	-0.55
Sam Young	20	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	12	-11	16.7	18.5	-1.78	13.9	16.7	-2.87
Tyler Hansbrough	20	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	9	-5	17.8	18.2	-0.40	16.5	15.8	0.63
Orlando Johnson	7	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	9	-5	14.4	18.4	-4.01	16.9	15.9	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NOH 88, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%