inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 99 Excitement7.3 [360] MVPAl Jefferson (UTA): +25.6%
Utah Jazz 104 Comeback2.7 [822] LVPGreivis Vasquez (NOH): -29.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0.230,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.230.080.140.00978%0.261-0.0300%0.00
Jason Smith0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.04-0.00667%0.1200.00367%-0.01
Brian Roberts0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.040.00370%0.0800.004100%0.02
Darius Miller0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.001150%0.0700.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01856%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Lance Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Ryan Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.010.03-0.020.031159%0.052-0.06560%-0.01
Austin Rivers-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00430%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Xavier Henry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00237%-0.031-0.04425%-0.08
Robin Lopez-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.110.00-0.110.001250%-0.061-0.05650%-0.06
Greivis Vasquez-0.290,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29-0.13-0.140.012139%-0.194-0.10250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.2,0.26,0.260.260.070.18-0.011855%0.2600.00450%-0.03
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.20.200.100.130.031262%0.272-0.071669%-0.03
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.070.00280%0.1400.00683%0.02
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.00965%0.141-0.04560%-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00367%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031042%-0.003-0.056100%0.04
Randy Foye0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.070.011052%-0.014-0.12757%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.331.515.425.52.435.3135.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +31.9%
UTA +23.4%
NOH -7.3%
NOH -0.7%
UTA +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHUTANBANOHUTANBA
this game15.215.515.4106.5109.5104.1
season16.316.0103.9104.6
opponent15.115.6105.0108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.214.017.013.215.2
UTA18.813.715.115.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al-Farouq Aminu55550.19-0.690.87-0.2515-203515.614.61.0316.813.63.19
Austin Rivers1112-0.08-0.420.340.07-50-514.015.3-1.3214.215.7-1.40
Lance Thomas88-0.09-0.410.320.09-61-714.515.2-0.7213.115.7-2.56
Anthony Davis4143-0.13-0.370.24-0.337-121915.215.10.1016.115.01.13
Roger Mason Jr.5959-0.18-0.320.15-0.294-91315.414.80.6315.914.81.12
Jason Smith2224-0.18-0.320.140.03-72-914.115.5-1.4014.715.7-0.97
Greivis Vasquez7376-0.20-0.300.10-0.355-101515.215.2-0.0515.913.72.24
Darius Miller1312-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-3115.715.10.6213.515.8-2.26
Robin Lopez7474-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.362-7915.414.11.3915.614.90.79
Brian Roberts3132-0.34-0.15-0.19-0.05-105-1514.615.4-0.7714.416.0-1.66
Xavier Henry2526-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.04-127-1915.615.00.5515.115.6-0.55
Ryan Anderson5354-0.600.10-0.70-0.13-1611-2714.815.6-0.8114.516.8-2.26

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson59570.54-0.040.590.1912-71914.517.1-2.5514.017.0-3.05
Paul Millsap68670.53-0.030.560.3850515.016.7-1.6715.314.80.44
DeMarre Carroll25240.390.110.29-0.0214-92313.716.1-2.4315.015.2-0.27
Alec Burks31310.300.200.100.097-2915.115.6-0.5115.115.2-0.10
Derrick Favors46460.290.210.080.029-41315.015.9-0.8314.915.4-0.49
Randy Foye69670.170.33-0.170.28-49-1316.113.72.4515.215.20.01
Enes Kanter11100.120.38-0.26-0.066-1715.115.5-0.4313.415.4-1.97
Marvin Williams70690.110.39-0.290.37-914-2316.113.72.4315.215.00.27
Al Jefferson65630.060.44-0.380.35-1015-2516.313.62.7415.514.51.03
Jamaal Tinsley3131-0.010.51-0.520.14-510-1516.215.11.0217.414.03.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 104, ORL 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.84,192.7%
HOU 78, POR 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.89,1,192.7%
CLE 92, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.93,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.91,192.3%