NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.9 [262]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +44.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	4.6 [189]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -32.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.17	-0.00	14	53%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.07	-0.00	12	70%	0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	6	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Chandler Parsons	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.03	8	78%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	46%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.06
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02	-0.06	0.05	0.01	20	48%	0.11	4	-0.14	21	90%	0.13
Cole Aldrich	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.18	0.25	-0.02	21	73%	0.53	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.04
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Tyrus Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.22	0.02	11	33%	-0.15	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	28.2	14.5	27.1	1.7	35.2	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +16.5%

HOU +16.0%

HOU +14.5%

HOU +7.7%

CHA -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	15.4	105.3	100.0	104.1
season	14.2	15.6		107.9	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.4		109.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	12.9	13.7	15.3	14.1
CHA	13.1	17.9	16.3	19.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	44	43	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-11	28	15.6	12.8	2.85	17.4	15.6	1.83
Marcus Morris	65	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-3	12	14.5	13.1	1.39	16.0	17.2	-1.22
Carlos Delfino	47	46	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-3	12	14.2	14.0	0.25	17.6	15.2	2.40
James Harden	84	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	7	-8	13.7	17.2	-3.50	16.4	16.4	0.02
Omer Asik	60	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	9	-12	13.1	15.7	-2.63	16.6	16.0	0.57
Cole Aldrich	35	32	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-3	12	15.7	13.1	2.63	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Patrick Patterson	16	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	15.1	13.9	1.25	17.1	16.3	0.80
Chandler Parsons	73	74	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	8	-10	13.8	14.9	-1.01	15.8	18.5	-2.73
Jeremy Lin	51	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	17	-28	12.8	15.6	-2.85	15.6	17.4	-1.83

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Taylor	33	33	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.05	6	-12	18	14.6	17.4	-2.72	15.8	13.2	2.61
Tyrus Thomas	15	16	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-6	6	19.8	15.8	4.04	15.7	13.8	1.93
Jeff Adrien	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	0	-6	14.3	17.4	-3.15	15.1	13.6	1.52
Brendan Haywood	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	17.7	16.0	1.63	16.4	13.4	3.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-3	0	16.8	16.0	0.78	13.2	15.0	-1.82
Ben Gordon	17	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	3	-12	16.0	16.5	-0.49	14.9	13.9	1.03
Bismack Biyombo	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-9	12	16.0	17.7	-1.63	13.6	15.7	-2.14
Kemba Walker	76	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-10	14	16.6	15.6	0.98	13.5	16.6	-3.05
Gerald Henderson	51	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-6	6	16.4	16.4	-0.07	13.3	15.1	-1.74
Hakim Warrick	48	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-6	6	16.7	16.1	0.62	13.0	15.3	-2.37
Ramon Sessions	56	55	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	10	-26	17.0	15.5	1.52	14.9	13.0	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.55,0.29,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.84,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.27,0	91.5%
IND 86, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.41,0.55,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.4%
PHI 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%