NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.2 [559]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +12.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	2.2 [483]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -16.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	19	63%	0.20	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Omer Asik	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.01	0.01	7	89%	0.18	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Greg Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.09	-0.01	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	13	23%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.09	0.04	18	57%	0.05	6	-0.21	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	15	53%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	22	59%	0.15	6	-0.17	7	100%	0.03
Lavoy Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	24.4	14.7	28.1	0.6	36.4	130.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.0%

HOU -12.1%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +24.1%

HOU -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.4	100.0	107.0	104.1
season	14.2	15.5		107.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	16.0	13.7	12.2	14.1
PHI	14.5	12.8	15.1	16.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Smith	9	8	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-10	13	13.2	14.1	-0.92	17.4	14.5	2.86
Marcus Morris	44	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-10	13	14.5	13.7	0.70	14.4	15.0	-0.65
Jeremy Lin	79	77	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.29	8	-15	23	13.7	15.3	-1.55	15.7	11.6	4.12
Patrick Patterson	21	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	0	-7	16.5	13.4	3.06	15.1	14.6	0.51
Chandler Parsons	85	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-7	7	13.6	16.5	-2.91	14.8	14.7	0.09
Toney Douglas	29	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	5	-17	14.6	13.8	0.79	12.6	15.7	-3.10
Omer Asik	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	4	-15	14.2	13.2	1.06	14.4	16.4	-1.94
Carlos Delfino	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	3	-13	13.7	14.5	-0.70	15.0	14.4	0.65
James Harden	94	94	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	2	-11	13.9	16.0	-2.06	14.6	16.7	-2.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	78	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	14.7	14.8	-0.10	13.4	16.3	-2.94
Jrue Holiday	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	2	3	14.4	16.5	-2.16	13.3	17.6	-4.25
Dorell Wright	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-6	19	13.3	16.5	-3.18	15.0	13.0	2.00
Jason Richardson	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	0	7	15.2	13.7	1.55	13.5	15.2	-1.61
Spencer Hawes	55	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-7	21	14.6	14.9	-0.31	14.7	13.3	1.36
Lavoy Allen	42	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	10	-13	15.1	14.5	0.65	14.1	14.0	0.14
Royal Ivey	30	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	7	-7	14.2	15.0	-0.82	15.3	13.5	1.83
Evan Turner	68	70	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.34	-8	15	-23	16.0	12.1	3.85	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Damien Wilkins	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	9	-11	14.9	14.7	0.16	15.5	13.6	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.43,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.7%
TOR 106, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.99,1	93.4%
DET 71, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.1%