inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement10.3 [58] MVPDarrell Arthur (MEM): +48.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 101 Comeback7.0 [207] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -25.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0.330,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.01,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.5,0.330.080.250.002161%0.464-0.137100%0.06
Stephen Jackson0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.070.00378%0.151-0.03367%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.00772%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Boris Diaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.050.00560%0.093-0.0800%0.00
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gary Neal-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Danny Green-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.070.02756%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.110.02-0.14-0.001164%-0.023-0.0900%0.00
Kawhi Leonard-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12-0.00-0.110.00643%-0.1200.00250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.031441%0.036-0.18475%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.480.480.090.390.00970%0.4800.002100%0.02
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.340.340.060.28-0.002051%0.3400.00540%-0.02
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.080.080.030.060.011556%0.132-0.052100%0.03
Tony Allen0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.020.01771%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.08-0.021142%-0.082-0.042100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.00530%-0.044-0.1200%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.02-0.230.001552%0.074-0.3210100%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.31.828.015.627.32.738.01.815.0156.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +29.7%
MEM +4.2%
MEM +30.0%
SAS -5.2%
SAS -8.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game15.417.315.4100.0104.1104.1
season15.216.5106.4102.9
opponent15.515.199.199.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS13.816.714.915.317.215.4
MEM17.516.820.416.014.517.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Jackson36360.63-1.131.760.466-91514.715.7-1.0016.717.6-0.91
Boris Diaw49480.25-0.750.990.047-101714.816.0-1.2016.218.3-2.14
Patty Mills1090.24-0.740.980.095-81316.415.21.1616.917.3-0.42
Matt Bonner980.08-0.580.660.11-1-2114.815.4-0.6415.617.4-1.79
Gary Neal1211-0.08-0.420.330.03-41-513.815.6-1.7415.717.5-1.74
Tiago Splitter5656-0.11-0.390.28-0.317-101715.415.40.0018.615.43.21
Manu Ginobili6769-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.353-6915.016.2-1.1816.818.5-1.68
Danny Green3431-0.550.05-0.60-0.26-107-1715.215.4-0.2316.917.5-0.58
Tony Parker7677-0.650.15-0.81-0.54-41-515.515.00.4617.516.21.28
Tim Duncan7273-0.850.35-1.19-0.49-129-2115.814.21.5317.018.1-1.08
Kawhi Leonard6967-1.190.69-1.88-0.84-129-2116.213.32.8618.414.83.62

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley75750.83-0.331.160.4513-102316.619.7-3.1215.913.62.28
Darrell Arthur43460.70-0.200.910.3811-81915.318.9-3.5714.516.1-1.53
Tony Allen73750.60-0.100.690.5421117.117.7-0.5915.016.5-1.52
Zach Randolph78770.54-0.040.570.5403-317.615.81.8415.515.00.52
Rudy Gay77770.52-0.020.530.5203-317.715.71.9815.415.20.21
Marc Gasol6666-0.120.62-0.73-0.1512-117.816.01.8216.413.23.13
Wayne Ellington2424-0.130.63-0.76-0.10-14-516.517.5-0.9713.915.8-1.96
Marreese Speights76-0.170.67-0.840.06-811-1920.017.12.9411.015.6-4.64
Jerryd Bayless4244-0.270.77-1.03-0.18-36-918.516.42.0915.515.20.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.43,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 97, NOK 1000.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,190.6%
CLE 95, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,190.2%
HOU 109, MEM 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,188.6%