NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	6.0 [593]		MVP	Earl Clark (LAL): +16.1%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.1 [1294]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -15.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Clark	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.15	0.01	0.00	12	79%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.07
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	24	49%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Robert Sacre	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.16	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	0.03	-0.13	0.06	22	50%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.07	-0.04	14	56%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	78%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	73%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	16	65%	0.09	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	31%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	29.7	17.6	27.6	2.6	33.2	138.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +54.1%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +3.1%

LAL -19.5%

SAS +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	12.9	15.4	15.4	101.9	106.9	104.1
season	14.9	15.2		106.0	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.5	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	13.2	12.1	12.8	12.9
SAS	14.8	15.0	15.1	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	23	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	13.0	12.9	0.14	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Robert Sacre	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-5	7	12.9	12.9	-0.00	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Chris Duhon	47	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	12.7	13.1	-0.35	16.2	14.7	1.44
Jodie Meeks	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	5	-13	14.5	12.7	1.79	15.6	15.3	0.29
Earl Clark	59	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-5	7	12.5	13.5	-1.02	15.9	14.7	1.22
Antawn Jamison	64	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-4	5	12.7	13.2	-0.50	16.3	13.9	2.39
Metta World Peace	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	13.1	12.0	1.08	15.4	15.2	0.21
Steve Nash	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	1	-5	12.9	12.9	-0.06	14.7	18.7	-4.02
Kobe Bryant	82	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	1	-5	13.0	12.5	0.52	15.1	16.2	-1.10

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	56	62	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-8	19	15.9	14.6	1.30	12.3	13.8	-1.47
Boris Diaw	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-9	21	15.9	14.7	1.14	12.5	13.4	-0.90
Tim Duncan	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	-5	13	15.0	16.0	-1.03	13.2	12.4	0.72
Tony Parker	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	2	-1	15.1	16.2	-1.12	13.1	12.3	0.76
Stephen Jackson	40	40	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	-2	7	15.2	15.5	-0.32	13.0	12.8	0.17
Kawhi Leonard	69	70	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.55	-12	15	-27	15.7	14.7	0.99	12.8	13.1	-0.25
Tiago Splitter	72	74	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	8	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.36	13.0	12.6	0.38
Danny Green	41	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	7	-11	14.3	16.1	-1.73	13.5	12.5	1.00
Gary Neal	35	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	16.0	15.0	0.93	12.8	13.0	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.84,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.7%
WAS 94, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
SAS 81, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%