NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	8.7 [158]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +32.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	2.3 [697]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (PHX): -15.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.02	26	61%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Jared Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.13	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.05	-0.00	17	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	9	32%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	13	62%	-0.05
Michael Beasley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	2	50%	-0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.19	0.01	20	64%	0.33	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	13	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.15	0.01	6	67%	0.22	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.05
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	20	49%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	13	36%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	26.4	14.5	25.8	1.5	39.2	131.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +47.8%

MIN +13.9%

PHX -7.8%

MIN +0.0%

PHX -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.8	15.4	105.9	111.0	104.1
season	15.2	15.6		99.7	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.4	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	12.7	11.8	17.3	13.8
MIN	15.2	13.5	16.5	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	24	23	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.14	1	-5	6	14.6	13.6	0.97	15.3	14.7	0.69
Markieff Morris	42	39	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-8	12	13.1	14.4	-1.28	14.0	15.4	-1.39
Michael Beasley	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-5	6	14.9	13.5	1.36	13.8	15.1	-1.28
Marcin Gortat	57	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	13.3	14.6	-1.33	15.5	13.9	1.60
PJ Tucker	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-7	10	15.5	12.8	2.70	14.1	15.3	-1.13
Jared Dudley	79	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	1	-6	13.5	14.9	-1.36	15.1	13.8	1.28
Luis Scola	90	91	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	2	-8	14.0	12.3	1.76	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Shannon Brown	76	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	4	-12	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.2	13.7	1.52
Goran Dragic	77	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	1	-6	13.6	14.6	-0.97	14.7	15.3	-0.69

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	71	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-5	14	15.1	14.2	0.91	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Kevin Love	83	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-2	8	15.2	12.9	2.26	14.0	12.9	1.15
Luke Ridnour	63	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-4	12	15.0	14.4	0.62	14.0	13.6	0.45
Alexey Shved	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	14.7	15.2	-0.55	13.3	15.2	-1.88
Nikola Pekovic	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-1	6	15.4	13.5	1.94	14.5	12.6	1.93
Jose Juan Barea	56	58	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	3	-2	14.5	15.2	-0.69	14.2	13.3	0.86
Greg Stiemsma	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	13.4	15.1	-1.72	12.6	14.1	-1.52
Dante Cunningham	40	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	10	-16	13.9	15.4	-1.53	13.0	14.4	-1.36
Derrick Williams	29	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	9	-14	14.2	15.1	-0.91	14.6	13.6	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	90.9%
HOU 113, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.84,1	90.9%
HOU 90, SEA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.65,0.42,1	90.8%