inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Excitement10.2 [60] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +34.7%
Miami Heat 113 Comeback10.2 [249] LVPMonta Ellis (MIL): -41.3%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Henson0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.030.15-0.011261%0.252-0.06475%0.03
Mike Dunleavy0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.28,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.020.160.041648%0.221-0.081100%0.03
Samuel Dalembert0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.060.02767%0.1200.001100%0.01
Ekpe Udoh0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11-0.010.120.00650%0.161-0.05250%-0.03
Tobias Harris0.040,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02861%0.0400.002100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Beno Udrih-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.01729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.12-0.042538%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.410,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24,-0.35,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41-0.19-0.25-0.031628%-0.245-0.1700%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.350.350.080.26-0.002156%0.381-0.03850%-0.06
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.140.140.070.100.031063%0.141-0.00786%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.08-0.002156%0.222-0.08875%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.05-0.00275%0.0800.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.06-0.070.021471%0.145-0.17683%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.00250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.03-0.0640%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01750%0.044-0.11450%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.61.027.015.520.81.733.21.814.7142.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +60.0%
MIL -9.8%
MIA +11.3%
MIL -20.0%
MIA +8.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game15.814.115.4101.9103.7104.1
season14.715.7101.6110.2
opponent15.915.3102.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL17.813.915.717.612.615.8
MIA12.414.313.816.713.414.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels27270.25-0.751.01-0.1012-193112.916.8-3.9413.714.3-0.52
Samuel Dalembert42430.25-0.750.99-0.029-162515.316.1-0.7313.714.4-0.79
Tobias Harris49520.23-0.730.950.056-131915.516.0-0.4513.514.7-1.13
Beno Udrih3334-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-6516.515.41.1414.414.00.41
Larry Sanders1314-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-5313.616.1-2.4611.614.5-2.93
Ersan Ilyasova3436-0.14-0.360.220.03-6-1-516.415.50.9112.914.8-1.89
Brandon Jennings96101-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.33-3-4115.617.2-1.6014.410.93.51
Monta Ellis7983-0.510.01-0.52-0.22-103-1315.616.3-0.7313.715.5-1.80
Ekpe Udoh4346-0.570.07-0.63-0.18-136-1917.114.82.3015.313.22.11
John Henson4952-0.670.17-0.84-0.26-147-2116.714.91.7915.213.12.07
Mike Dunleavy5557-0.770.27-1.04-0.39-136-1916.015.50.4514.713.51.13

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier81760.67-0.170.830.438-1913.715.4-1.7015.217.4-2.17
Ray Allen59560.56-0.060.620.2411-41515.013.11.8316.614.81.82
Chris Bosh87830.56-0.060.610.328-1914.413.11.2415.915.20.67
Dwyane Wade82770.460.040.410.2861513.615.7-2.1415.018.1-3.11
LeBron James91850.400.100.300.2552313.616.8-3.2415.317.9-2.67
Udonis Haslem34340.160.34-0.18-0.0470714.813.81.0117.514.92.62
Mike Miller24250.130.37-0.250.0434-115.213.81.3318.015.12.99
Mario Chalmers4847-0.040.54-0.590.01-29-1113.114.9-1.7915.016.4-1.44
Joel Anthony66-0.120.62-0.730.06-613-1914.714.10.5710.816.1-5.24
Norris Cole3331-0.260.76-1.02-0.11-512-1715.713.42.2917.115.21.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.45,0.69,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.91,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 102, BOS 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,189.5%
WAS 103, MEM 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,188.5%
MIA 92, TOR 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.43,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.91,0.99,187.8%