NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	5.8 [633]		MVP	Jeremy Pargo (CLE): +28.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	1.1 [504]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -11.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	13	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	13	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Dorell Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	16	47%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.15	-0.01	19	67%	0.31	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	78%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	72%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	24%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.04	-0.01	22	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.9	15.0	22.2	2.4	31.6	127.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.2%

CLE +1.3%

CLE +16.4%

PHI -17.8%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.4	93.3	103.4	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		100.5	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		107.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	15.8	15.8	14.8	15.4
CLE	15.3	14.9	20.1	17.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	14	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.08	-1	-8	7	15.0	15.5	-0.52	15.2	17.3	-2.07
Damien Wilkins	5	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-4	-1	17.4	15.3	2.08	12.3	17.3	-4.92
Kwame Brown	41	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	15.7	15.2	0.41	15.2	18.3	-3.08
Lavoy Allen	4	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-4	-1	19.5	15.2	4.25	13.0	17.2	-4.20
Evan Turner	69	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-13	17	14.3	19.2	-4.92	17.5	15.2	2.27
Dorell Wright	30	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-2	-5	17.0	14.7	2.31	16.6	17.1	-0.47
Spencer Hawes	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-5	1	15.1	15.6	-0.52	18.7	15.9	2.82
Thaddeus Young	67	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-9	9	15.2	16.2	-1.05	17.9	14.2	3.66
Nick Young	56	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-7	5	15.1	16.1	-0.99	17.2	16.3	0.89
Jason Richardson	53	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	6	-21	16.2	14.4	1.76	16.3	17.7	-1.42
Jrue Holiday	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	0	-9	15.6	14.7	0.91	17.0	16.4	0.60

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Waiters	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-2	13	17.8	13.5	4.29	15.0	17.1	-2.03
Anderson Varejao	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	18.1	14.1	4.03	14.7	17.2	-2.42
Alonzo Gee	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	17.3	15.3	2.01	14.8	17.9	-3.07
CJ Miles	50	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	1	7	17.1	16.7	0.36	15.9	14.9	1.04
Jeremy Pargo	72	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	7	-5	16.5	18.5	-1.99	15.5	15.3	0.13
Tristan Thompson	46	48	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	7	-5	16.2	17.7	-1.55	16.3	14.4	1.90
Tyler Zeller	41	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	16.3	17.4	-1.08	16.0	15.0	1.00
Omri Casspi	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	7	-5	14.1	18.4	-4.33	16.4	14.9	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.81,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%
MEM 82, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
ORL 86, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.4%