NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	7.8 [273]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (ATL): +10.3%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	96.1 [15]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -30.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.03	12	77%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	10	41%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
David West	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	18	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.22	-0.03	-0.21	-0.01	13	48%	-0.07	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	12	36%	-0.10	1	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	2	114%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.21,0,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.12	0.03	15	50%	0.19	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0	0.00	-0.05	0.06	0.00	11	41%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.05	-0.24	0.01	12	38%	-0.19	1	-0.11	5	20%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	24.5	15.7	26.5	2.0	33.1	128.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.7%

IND -12.1%

ATL +48.9%

IND -1.9%

IND -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.5	15.4	93.5	98.9	104.1
season	16.1	15.1		102.4	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.1	14.5	13.7	19.9	16.2
ATL	15.6	14.2	16.9	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-2	1	16.7	16.0	0.73	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Tyler Hansbrough	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	3	-9	16.9	15.8	1.08	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Gerald Green	31	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	4	-11	18.2	15.1	3.09	15.7	15.4	0.32
Roy Hibbert	69	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-15	27	15.5	18.1	-2.55	15.7	14.7	1.04
D.J. Augustin	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	8	-19	17.3	15.8	1.50	14.2	15.8	-1.56
Ian Mahinmi	16	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	10	-23	17.2	16.0	1.23	13.8	15.8	-2.01
George Hill	72	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.53	8	-11	19	15.8	17.3	-1.50	15.8	14.2	1.56
Paul George	77	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-8	13	15.7	18.7	-2.98	15.6	14.7	0.87
David West	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.49	1	-4	5	16.3	15.9	0.35	15.9	14.1	1.76
Lance Stephenson	54	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.5	17.2	-1.72	15.4	15.6	-0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	60	62	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.57	9	-6	15	15.0	16.5	-1.50	16.9	14.8	2.09
Josh Smith	64	66	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	-1	5	15.2	16.1	-0.86	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Kyle Korver	57	59	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	0	3	14.9	16.5	-1.61	16.6	15.5	1.12
Zaza Pachulia	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.54	-5	8	-13	15.5	15.3	0.19	15.4	17.9	-2.42
Al Horford	65	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.53	-5	8	-13	15.5	15.5	-0.02	15.7	17.3	-1.57
Ivan Johnson	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	-8	19	13.8	15.8	-2.00	17.9	15.8	2.13
Anthony Tolliver	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	4	-5	15.9	15.3	0.55	16.8	15.9	0.83
DeShawn Stevenson	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	3	-3	16.5	14.9	1.61	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Louis Williams	38	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.19	2	1	1	16.3	14.9	1.42	16.8	15.7	1.03
Devin Harris	28	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.18	-3	6	-9	16.4	15.0	1.34	15.0	16.7	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.21,0.45,0.63,1	90.8%
MIN 101, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.37,0.57,0.85,1	89.8%
OKC 110, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.31,0.92,1	89.3%