NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	8.0 [241]		MVP	David West (IND): +21.5%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	15.2 [81]		LVP	Gerald Green (IND): -20.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	19	64%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
George Hill	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17	-0.03	0.20	0.00	9	40%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.07
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	13	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	-0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.00	11	72%	0.23	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.08
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	12	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	15	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	14	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.04	15	42%	-0.12	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.2	17.5	28.2	1.8	37.0	141.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +65.5%

TOR -11.1%

IND +17.2%

TOR -23.0%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	14.9	15.4	98.9	95.7	104.1
season	16.1	16.1		102.4	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.5	16.6	16.1	18.5	16.6
TOR	15.2	12.9	14.6	17.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	57	57	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-5	12	16.0	17.6	-1.61	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Paul George	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.56	3	-1	4	15.9	18.8	-2.95	14.6	15.9	-1.35
George Hill	63	63	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.48	2	0	2	16.1	17.7	-1.58	15.2	14.2	0.96
David West	53	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	2	-2	16.4	16.9	-0.49	15.1	14.7	0.37
Gerald Green	71	72	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.48	1	1	0	16.4	17.1	-0.73	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Sam Young	21	20	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	1	0	16.3	16.7	-0.32	15.6	14.7	0.96
Tyler Hansbrough	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	0	2	16.9	16.4	0.49	14.7	15.1	-0.37
D.J. Augustin	28	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	2	-2	17.7	16.1	1.58	14.2	15.2	-0.96
Lance Stephenson	22	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	3	-4	18.8	15.9	2.95	15.9	14.6	1.35
Ian Mahinmi	33	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.12	-5	7	-12	18.1	15.7	2.41	15.0	14.8	0.20

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	50	49	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.07	6	-8	14	14.4	15.5	-1.14	15.3	18.1	-2.81
Amir Johnson	32	31	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.07	4	-6	10	14.8	14.9	-0.14	18.3	15.7	2.59
Aaron Gray	15	14	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-3	4	13.4	15.2	-1.79	17.1	16.5	0.66
Terrence Ross	11	12	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-6	10	15.0	14.9	0.11	16.2	16.6	-0.38
Ed Davis	25	25	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-3	4	14.2	15.1	-0.91	17.2	16.4	0.80
John Lucas III	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	1	-4	15.4	14.8	0.56	17.0	16.5	0.47
Alan Anderson	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-3	4	14.7	15.1	-0.40	17.3	16.1	1.18
Jose Calderon	46	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	6	-14	15.5	14.3	1.20	18.0	15.2	2.78
Kyle Lowry	70	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-1	0	14.9	15.0	-0.07	16.6	16.5	0.11
Andrea Bargnani	67	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	15.1	14.2	0.91	16.4	17.2	-0.80
DeMar DeRozan	54	54	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.56	-5	3	-8	14.9	14.8	0.10	15.8	17.8	-1.98
Jonas Valanciunas	45	45	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.52	-7	5	-12	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.6	17.5	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	92.0%
DET 75, MIA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.77,0.42,0	91.8%
CHA 80, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.78,0.42,0	91.7%