NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	10.6 [41]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +44.5%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	8.4 [76]		LVP	David West (IND): -31.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.44	0.20	0.25	0.00	20	73%	0.56	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.06
Roy Hibbert	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	14	48%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Darren Collison	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	8	50%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.11
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,-0.08	-0.03	-0.12	-0.06	7	53%	0.14	3	-0.22	3	100%	0.03
David West	-0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.03	-0.25	0.03	12	46%	-0.18	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.25	0.01	14	69%	0.39	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.09
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.19	-0.01	12	58%	0.28	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.16	0.01	17	59%	0.13	3	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.20	-0.02	12	33%	-0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.8	2.5	27.2	15.7	23.6	2.4	39.2	1.6	23.0	155.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +5.9%

IND +27.4%

IND +40.0%

HOU -28.1%

IND +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.6	106.1	105.2	102.8
season	15.7	15.4		104.2	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.6	15.7	16.2	14.4	20.4	16.1
HOU	19.4	15.7	16.6	16.9	11.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	65	65	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-9	20	16.8	14.8	2.01	16.5	16.5	0.04
Roy Hibbert	61	61	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.51	5	-3	8	17.3	14.2	3.11	17.5	14.7	2.77
Paul George	55	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.40	5	-3	8	16.3	15.9	0.38	16.7	16.2	0.56
Danny Granger	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	2	-2	16.8	14.6	2.24	16.7	16.1	0.61
Darren Collison	64	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-1	4	16.7	15.0	1.67	17.1	15.3	1.82
Leandro Barbosa	40	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-2	6	15.6	16.5	-0.84	16.3	16.6	-0.34
Dahntay Jones	30	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	0	2	14.6	16.8	-2.24	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Lou Amundson	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.9	16.7	-0.77
Tyler Hansbrough	42	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	9	-16	15.0	17.0	-1.96	16.1	16.8	-0.67
George Hill	39	37	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.09	-10	12	-22	14.7	17.0	-2.29	14.4	17.8	-3.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	44	43	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.18	8	-10	18	14.4	18.2	-3.78	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Samuel Dalembert	23	22	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-5	8	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.5	16.3	-0.86
Marcus Morris	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	15.3	16.6	-1.28	11.3	16.7	-5.37
Earl Boykins	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-1	0	15.6	16.9	-1.25	13.5	17.2	-3.72
Patrick Patterson	56	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	14.9	18.7	-3.87	15.3	17.3	-2.05
Courtney Lee	77	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-7	12	16.5	16.3	0.25	17.1	12.4	4.68
Luis Scola	48	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	6	-14	18.7	14.4	4.30	16.9	15.3	1.55
Goran Dragic	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.9	15.6	1.25	17.2	13.5	3.72
Marcus Camby	64	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	17.1	15.3	1.85	16.9	14.5	2.42
Chandler Parsons	67	67	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	9	-20	17.4	14.4	3.08	16.0	16.3	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.29,0.28,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.45,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.08,0	89.2%
IND 108, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.7,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.03,0,0	89.0%
LAL 107, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.92,0.85,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.38,0.63,0.22,0.04,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.09,0.02,0	88.5%