NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	5.7 [528]		MVP	Brandon Rush (GSW): +22.1%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	2.3 [323]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (NOH): -12.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.02	10	80%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	19	54%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	24	55%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Tyler	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	9	77%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	5	80%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	13	43%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	1.8	25.2	14.8	27.2	2.5	25.6	117.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.1%

NOH -0.0%

NOH -5.1%

GSW +26.0%

GSW +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	15.5	15.6	111.0	101.1	102.8
season	15.2	16.3		103.6	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.3	16.5	14.3	16.7	16.2
NOH	13.4	17.8	15.1	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	56	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-2	13	15.8	16.8	-1.06	16.3	14.3	1.98
Klay Thompson	76	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	0	9	16.3	15.3	1.01	15.6	14.8	0.81
Richard Jefferson	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	-1	11	16.1	16.2	-0.07	15.8	14.9	0.92
Nate Robinson	56	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	1	7	16.4	15.7	0.70	15.3	15.7	-0.46
David Lee	74	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	3	3	16.5	14.8	1.66	15.6	14.8	0.80
Dominic McGuire	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	8	-7	15.3	16.8	-1.47	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Jeremy Tyler	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	3	3	15.8	16.4	-0.56	14.6	15.9	-1.36
Charles Jenkins	36	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	10	-11	15.7	16.5	-0.80	15.7	15.3	0.46
Dorell Wright	32	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	14	-19	17.3	15.6	1.70	14.7	15.9	-1.16

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gustavo Ayon	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	16.1	15.2	0.91	16.7	15.9	0.89
Trevor Ariza	53	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	13.8	17.8	-3.93	16.5	15.7	0.89
Lance Thomas	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-9	9	14.2	16.0	-1.75	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Marco Belinelli	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-10	11	15.5	15.5	0.02	17.3	14.6	2.66
Jarrett Jack	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-10	11	15.2	15.9	-0.62	16.9	15.0	1.89
Chris Kaman	61	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-6	3	16.2	14.1	2.10	16.4	15.8	0.61
Al-Farouq Aminu	33	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	15.5	15.4	0.07	14.7	16.9	-2.20
Jason Smith	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	1	-11	15.0	16.0	-1.03	15.8	16.7	-0.89
Xavier Henry	47	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	3	-15	16.9	14.0	2.85	16.3	16.1	0.21
Greivis Vasquez	43	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	4	-17	16.1	14.9	1.22	14.7	17.4	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
OKC 100, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.16,0	93.0%
LAC 91, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.9%