NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	8.1 [190]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +50.3%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	2.9 [487]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -41.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.50	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.5	0.12	0.39	0.01	15	73%	0.62	3	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	6	125%	0.24	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.00	18	52%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Greg Stiemsma	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	7	44%	-0.06	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.41	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.41	-0.18	-0.22	0.02	17	37%	-0.20	6	-0.22	6	83%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	5	100%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	73%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	16	70%	0.16	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	17	55%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	19	53%	0.07	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.03
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	31.4	13.8	24.2	2.4	35.4	132.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +23.6%

BOS +14.5%

BOS +21.1%

GSW -7.8%

GSW -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.6	109.4	109.6	102.8
season	15.5	15.2		99.4	103.6
opponent	15.4	16.2		106.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	13.2	14.7	15.3	14.6
GSW	14.0	16.2	16.6	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	26	24	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-7	16	14.3	14.8	-0.45	17.4	15.1	2.26
Kevin Garnett	66	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	0	2	14.7	14.4	0.34	16.6	13.8	2.73
Greg Stiemsma	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-7	16	15.9	14.0	1.95	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Keyon Dooling	15	15	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-9	20	13.6	14.8	-1.23	18.3	15.2	3.14
Paul Pierce	72	71	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.51	-9	11	-20	14.2	16.0	-1.76	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Brandon Bass	82	81	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.26	-1	3	-4	14.7	14.5	0.16	15.3	17.9	-2.59
Ray Allen	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.42	-7	9	-16	14.7	14.6	0.08	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Rajon Rondo	71	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	9	-16	14.6	14.8	-0.22	15.1	17.4	-2.26
Mickael Pietrus	51	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	-1	4	14.8	14.5	0.32	15.7	15.7	0.08

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	71	76	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.36	23	-25	48	15.9	15.0	0.92	14.7	14.4	0.30
Jeremy Tyler	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	22.0	15.4	6.59	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Dorell Wright	65	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-8	14	15.7	15.7	-0.05	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Klay Thompson	80	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-6	10	15.5	17.0	-1.54	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Andris Biedrins	36	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	2	-6	15.7	15.7	0.09	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Dominic McGuire	54	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	2	-6	15.1	16.4	-1.28	15.9	12.9	2.98
David Lee	81	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.5	15.2	-0.68
Brandon Rush	58	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.7	15.7	-0.05	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Charles Jenkins	21	20	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.05	-23	21	-44	15.9	15.6	0.27	14.4	14.7	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.08,0	91.7%
BOS 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	91.4%
BOS 102, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.71,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.22,0.31,0.16,0	91.2%